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Keir Starmer has made himself a hostage of the Labour right, and at a time of their choosing (not yet) they& #39;ll cast him aside. He dynamited all his bridges with the left, cutting himself off from any sources of counter-pressure, so no one& #39;s coming to save him. >
I think the political dynamics of bad election results are: the worse Starmer does, the more dependent he is on the right, which can make his survival conditional on him kicking the left more.
So they& #39;re already talking about a shadow cabinet reshuffle. It& #39;s almost sad for the soft left because they cheered on as Starmer cleared out those to the left of them, only to find that they& #39;re now next in line.
LOTO is also briefing against chief whip Nick Brown, who was served under Corbyn and apparently wasn& #39;t exactly enthusiastic about withdrawing the whip from him.
I expect LOTO will also brief against Angela Rayner and staff who had oversight of the election campaign. The ground was laid a while ago in the Guardian. Angela will probably respond with briefings against Starmer& #39;s political secretary Jenny Chapman. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/mar/28/labour-mps-raise-fears-over-keir-starmers-lack-of-grip">https://www.theguardian.com/politics/...
Within the party, Starmer& #39;s General Secretary is already waging a full scale factional war on the left. The Labour right will push Starmer to accelerate it. Withdrawing the whip from Jeremy Corbyn wasn& #39;t enough. They want the left obliterated.
None of that will solve Starmer& #39;s electoral problems, of course. But that& #39;s not the Labour right& #39;s concern. Starmer& #39;s future isn& #39;t in his own hands now. He probably wouldn& #39;t know what to do with it if it was.
If it doesn& #39;t sound like this dynamic is going to end well, the familiar mixture of hubris and cluelessness is what has previously given rise to opportunity for the left.
