Gameweek 35 Analysis

Hello everyone and welcome to my FPL thread for TGW35

#FPL #FPLCommunity

Fixtures to target

Man UTD vs AVL(A) + LEI(H) + LIV(H)

TRIPLE Gameweek for the red devils is a Non negligible fixture for FPL managers . Tricky fixtures however, Man UTD trio will be super tasty this week but who will get the start of 3 games in one week

Crystal Palace vs SHU(A) + SOU(A)

Apparently, The Eagles have the easiest double gameweek with respect to their opponents defensive and attacking stats where both SHU and SOU are ranked 3rd and 5th worth in goal attempts during all the home matches

Guaita and Zaha bus ?

Liverpool vs SOU(H) + MUN(A)

A MUST-WIN fixture aganist SOU at Anfield followed by the North-West derby aganist MUN whom are playing 3 games before the derby is definitely a fixture to target

TAA + Golden boot factor for Salah

Discussion & Comparisons

Analyzing Teams Having DGW35 and Playing in BGW36 + UTD TGW

In my latest article for @allaboutfpl I discuss the 5 Teams Doubling in GW35 and Having a Fixture in BGW36 plus Man UTD TGW https://allaboutfpl.com/2021/05/analyzing-the-4-teams-doubling-in-fpl-gw35-and-having-a-fixture-in-bgw36/

Recalling : Keep or Sell Jota ?

The firing start for Diogo Jota with Liverpool versus his current form make the owners to doubt whether to keep or replace him with other promising midfielders

Before you decide, i will try to analyze the firing period and the current form for the portuguese excluding his injury period
[ GW3 - GW11 vs GW26 - GW33 ] :

- Goals/Assists : 5/0 vs 3/0
- Mins per attempt in box : 35.8 vs 26.9
- Mins per shot on target : 45.5 vs 45.8
- Mins per Chances created : 84 vs 76
- Mins per xGi : 165.9 vs 158.5
- Goal Attempts : 20 vs 19

Diogo still provides huge numbers , however his Goal conversion rate had decreased from 25% to 15.8 % which make us think we may replace him with firing midfielders " Lingard - Pereira - Sigurdsson - even Zaha for a potenial easy DGW "

Conclusion :

If i have Jota i will keep faith with him specially with Liverpool double fixture this week followed by an easy run



Manchester United Assets

With the upcoming triple gameweek for the red devils , Most of FPL managers will have at least 2 Man UTD assets . In the below section i will try to analyse Bruno vs Greenwood vs Rashford [ GW26-GW34] :

- Goals / Assists : 1/1 vs 4/1 vs 1/2
- Mins per chances created : 40 vs 94 vs 66
- Mins per attempt on target : 89.8 vs 56.4 vs 82.1
- Mins per attempt in the box : 89.8 vs 33.2 vs 65.7
- Goal attempts: 21 vs 25 vs 17

Bruno is a must-have regardless how many mins he will play. Iam also backing Greenwood over Rashford with respect to Marcus latest back issues. Rashford played 27 mins only aganist Rome

Conclusion :

If iam freehitting this week i would go for Maguire, Bruno and Greenwood

Backing Crystal Palace Assets

As i stated in the fixture to target section, The Eagles have the easiest double gameweek with respect to their opponents defensive and attacking stats . Lets dig into Sheffield vs Southampton stats over the last 6 gameweeks

Attacking Stats

- Total Big Chances: 3 [worst] vs 8 [ 4th worst ]
- Goal attempts: 39 [2nd worst] vs 53 [3rd worst ]
- Sib : 23 [2nd worst] vs 28 [3rd worst ]
- xG on Target : 2.54 [Worst] vs 5.02[ 7th worst ]

Defensive Stats

- Mins per BC conceded : 36.5 vs 31.8 [ 4th worst vs 2nd worst ]
- Mins per xG conceded: 49.9 vs 48.4 [ 5th worst vs 4th worst ]
- Mins per xG on target conceded: 49.9 vs 48.4 [ 5th worst vs 2nd worst ]
- Goals Conceded: 10 vs 8 [ 3rd worst vs 5th worst ]

Wilfred Zaha is the one-man show for the eagles who is considered the 7th best among midfielders to have big chances against the bottom 10 Teams with 7 big chances, Scored 5 (5th best). The talisman has an xG = 4.34 against the same teams ranked in the top 10 players (10th)

Conclusion :

Zaha [ If fit ] + Guaita / Ward will be on my transfer plan this week indeed

Captaincy

Stats and Performance as per the last 6 Gameweeks

Bruno Fernandes

- Time played : 539 mins
- 0 goals , 1 assist
- 1.25 xG (non-pen), 1.48 xA
- 14 Goal attempts ( 6 in box)
- 2 big chances ( Scored 0)
- 7 Chances Created
- Touch / Shot heatmaps :

GW Opponents: AVL vs LEI vs LIV

- Goals Conceded : 10 vs 7 vs 3
- Clean sheets : 0 vs 1 vs 1
- xG Conceeded : 8.72 vs 4.54 vs 4.02
- SIB conceded: 49 vs 21 vs 26
- Shots on target conceded: 30 vs 14 vs 16
- BC Conceded : 13 vs 7 vs 9
- Goal attempts conceded heatmap :

Mohamed Salah

- Time played : 469 mins "
- 3 goals , 0 assists
- 2.79 xG (non-pen), 0.74 xA
- 27 Goal attempts ( 14 in box)
- 6 big chances ( Scored 2 )
- 5 Chances Created
- Touch / Shot heatmaps :

GW Opponent: SOU+ MUN

- Goals Conceded : 8 vs 3
- Clean sheets : 0 vs 1
- xG Conceeded : 7.89 vs 3.15
- Shots in the box conceded: 39 vs 23
- Shots on target conceded : 23 vs 12
- Big Chances Conceded : 12 vs 6
- Goal attempts conceded heatmap :

Kelechi Iheanacho

- Time played : 521 mins
- 4 goals , 2 assist
- 2.24 xG (non-pen), 1.36 xA
- 19 Goal attempts ( 12 in box)
- 3 big chances ( Scored 1 )
- 8 Chances Created
- Touch / Shot heatmaps :

GW Opponent: NEW + MUN

- Goals Conceded : 8 vs 3
- Clean sheets : 11 vs 3
- xG Conceeded : 11.95 vs 3.15
- Shots in the box conceded: 65 vs 23
- Shots on target conceded : 33 vs 12
- Big Chances Conceded : 14 vs 6
- Goal attempts conceded heatmap :

Differential Captaincy

Stats & Performance Over the last 6 Gameweeks

Mason Greenwood 7.2 - AVL(H)+ LEI(H) + LIV(H) - TSB: 6.9%

- Time played : 355 mins
- 4 goals, 1 assist
- 1.82 xG (non-pen), 0.62 xA
- 16 goal attempts ( 13 in the box)
- 4 Chances created

Wilfred Zaha7.2 - SHU(A) + SOU(A) - TSB: 9.9%

- Time played : 495 mins
- 1 goals, 1assist
- 0.68 xG (non-pen), 0.37 xA
- 4 goal attempts (3 in the box)
- 1 big chances ( Scored 1)

Differential Picks

Eberechi Eze
5.8
Ownership: 0.9%
Fixture: SHU(A) + SOU(A)

James Ward-Prowse
5.8
Ownership: 9.8%
Fixture: LIV(A) + CRY(H)

Richarlison
7.8
Owned by: 8.1%
Fixture : WHU (A) + AVL(A)

Thanks for your reading. RTs and Comments are highly appreciated

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