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Polling day is here, and so is the final BBS projection. Certainty? I don& #39;t know her.
Projected Seat ranges:
SNP ~ 58 to 71
Con ~ 24 to 32
Lab ~ 18 to 25
Grn ~ 5 to 11
LD ~ 4 to 8
Alba ~ 0 or 1 https://ballotbox.scot/sp21-final-projection">https://ballotbox.scot/sp21-fina...
Projected Seat ranges:
SNP ~ 58 to 71
Con ~ 24 to 32
Lab ~ 18 to 25
Grn ~ 5 to 11
LD ~ 4 to 8
Alba ~ 0 or 1 https://ballotbox.scot/sp21-final-projection">https://ballotbox.scot/sp21-fina...
For Twitter-only folk, here& #39;s the full image!
Though the ranges for each party look wide, note that the minimum case for them all sums up to 109 seats (~85%). That means I reckon only 20 seats (~15%) are really in play!
Let& #39;s look at each region in turn for more detail...
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧵" title="Thread" aria-label="Emoji: Thread">
Though the ranges for each party look wide, note that the minimum case for them all sums up to 109 seats (~85%). That means I reckon only 20 seats (~15%) are really in play!
Let& #39;s look at each region in turn for more detail...
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Central Projected Seat Ranges:
SNP ~ 9
Lab ~ 4
Con ~ 2-3
Grn ~ 0-1
With apologies to the good folk of Central, probably the least exciting region this time. No obvious battlegrounds, the one shuffle may be for a Green at Conservatives expense.
SNP ~ 9
Lab ~ 4
Con ~ 2-3
Grn ~ 0-1
With apologies to the good folk of Central, probably the least exciting region this time. No obvious battlegrounds, the one shuffle may be for a Green at Conservatives expense.
Glasgow Projected Seat Ranges:
SNP ~ 8-9
Lab ~ 3-4
Con ~ 1-2
Grn ~ 1-2
Kelvin: SNP vs Grn, likely SNP
Main competition here is on the list seats, with prospects of doubles for both Con and Grn putting pressure on Labour& #39;s 4th seat.
SNP ~ 8-9
Lab ~ 3-4
Con ~ 1-2
Grn ~ 1-2
Kelvin: SNP vs Grn, likely SNP
Main competition here is on the list seats, with prospects of doubles for both Con and Grn putting pressure on Labour& #39;s 4th seat.
