CDC updated Covid models based on actual data through March 27. In every scenario modelled, reality has already completely diverged from their forecast.
Somehow, rather than discarding these obviously wrong models, they were published.
The CDC may be irreparably broken.
Somehow, rather than discarding these obviously wrong models, they were published.
The CDC may be irreparably broken.
They modelled four scenarios - in each scenario, cases rise through mid-May, but the reality is that cases fell immediately. In every scenario, they forecasted at least 2X as many cases today as will actually be reported.
Rather than hiding this shameful debacle (which is what they should have done), the CDC has publicized these models as if they were accurate.
This CNBC article is from TODAY.
The CDC is an embarrassment, as is our media. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/05/cdc-projects-a-surge-in-us-covid-cases-through-may-due-to-bpoint1point1point7-variant-before-a-sharp-decline-.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/0...
This CNBC article is from TODAY.
The CDC is an embarrassment, as is our media. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/05/cdc-projects-a-surge-in-us-covid-cases-through-may-due-to-bpoint1point1point7-variant-before-a-sharp-decline-.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/0...