OK...

1/ First, changing capital gains taxes won& #39;t solve our deficit problem, even a bit. FY 2021 we will have $2.3 trillion deficit.

The tax will *optimistically* raise $10 billion a year, or ~0.5% of our deficit, and about 0.2% of our whole budget.

https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2021/4/23/revenue-effects-of-president-bidens-capital-gains-tax-increase">https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/20... https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1388535235403415552">https://twitter.com/Noahpinio...
2/ Most recent studies show, & the Joint Congressional Committee on Taxation agrees, that for every 1% in cap taxes increased, 0.75% to 0.5% disappears because of taxpayers& #39; response: the highest rate for any tax!

Overall, the tax just destroys wealth.
https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41364.pdf">https://fas.org/sgp/crs/m...
3/ In fact, the Tax Foundation, using similar models to the Joint Committee, estimates that Biden& #39;s tax will lower revenue by $133 billion over 10 years, mainly because it will cost jobs and growth.

CBO agrees a ~40% rate would raise far less than 30%. https://taxfoundation.org/biden-capital-gains-tax-rates/">https://taxfoundation.org/biden-cap...
4/ Literally the only way economies grow is through savings and investment. That& #39;s it. Our system already disincentives this, by taxing income used to invest, and then taxing the gains on investment, and then taxing fictitious "gains" that are just inflation.
5/ There is plenty of research showing that cap gains taxes are the worst taxes for growth, and almost no research showing the opposite. https://www.nber.org/papers/w12201 ">https://www.nber.org/papers/w1...

If we want the rich to pay more - taxes on unused land, progressive consumption & luxury taxes make far more sense.
6/ If you& #39;re concerned with distribution, think about "horizontal equity." Progressive income taxes tax the rich too. But the cap gains taxes specifically taxes the rich who save and build more, leaving the wasteful or profligate rich alone.

What& #39;s the justification for that?
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