THREAD -- 4 NFL Draft betting takeaways from Round 1:

1) Don't fear the vig. Laying the lumber on under 5.5 QBs was a slam dunk. Even at the closing # north of -500, weighing price vs. probability, it may have offered more value than we'll see on a spread or total all season.

2) Act quickly on quality information. In March, Zach Wilson to go 2nd was available laying less than 2:1 (h/t @whale_capper). BookMaker closed north of 300:1. PSA: Seek out *good* information and apply a filter -- most "information" is better off ignored.

3) CLV matters. The late run on defense wiped out a lot of prop bets on over 18.5 offensive players. As late as this week, over 17.5 was still available before the number landed on 18.

4) When in doubt, bet on binary outcomes. Without quality information, e.g. Wilson going 2nd, it's difficult to find value -- despite those tantalizing + numbers -- when books charge more vig for every potential result. Small flyers are fun, but bankroll management is crucial.

What did I miss? Anything you'd like to add?