Transfer Tips & Trends: GW34 Thread
I analyse transfer trends + popular combos of moves being made by the masses
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I analyse transfer trends + popular combos of moves being made by the masses




Credits @FFH_HQ + @FantasyFootyFix
Enjoy the full article or Twitter thread

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Top 8 Transfers in and out across FPL this GW
See below tweets for forward & midfielder combinations 
@FantasyFootyFix


@FantasyFootyFix
Top 10 Forward Transfer Combinations
Buys:
Iheanacho 164k
Kane 125k
Sells:
Watkins 74k (20% of Kane buys)
Vardy 64k (42% of Kane buys)
Lacazette 63k (5% of Kane buys)
@FantasyFootyFix
Buys:
Iheanacho 164k
Kane 125k
Sells:
Watkins 74k (20% of Kane buys)
Vardy 64k (42% of Kane buys)
Lacazette 63k (5% of Kane buys)
@FantasyFootyFix
Top 10 Mid Transfer Combinations
Buys:
Son 134k
Pereira 73k buys
Sells:
Fernandes 108k (50% of Son buys)
Jota 82k (14% of Son buys)
Raphinha 72k (4% of Son buys/ 15% of Pereira buys)
Greenwood 18k (6% of Son buys)
@FantasyFootyFix
Buys:
Son 134k
Pereira 73k buys
Sells:
Fernandes 108k (50% of Son buys)
Jota 82k (14% of Son buys)
Raphinha 72k (4% of Son buys/ 15% of Pereira buys)
Greenwood 18k (6% of Son buys)
@FantasyFootyFix
Focus on Vardy making way for Kane- which accounts for 68% of his sales.
I’d like to break down Vardy's 64k sales before the deep dive. 68% of sales were to Kane, 17% to Iheanacho, 9% to Wood and 3% to Bamford.
*Fixture Tickers for GW34-38 at the end of the thread.
I’d like to break down Vardy's 64k sales before the deep dive. 68% of sales were to Kane, 17% to Iheanacho, 9% to Wood and 3% to Bamford.
*Fixture Tickers for GW34-38 at the end of the thread.
Kane v Vardy Comparison GW28-33
The last 6GWs shows Kane has been outperforming Vardy on the goalscoring stats fronts. He has a higher xG, BC, SiB, SoT & Shots.
Vardy has been taking more TiB and also boasts better creativity stats. He has recorded a higher xA, BCC & Key Passes
The last 6GWs shows Kane has been outperforming Vardy on the goalscoring stats fronts. He has a higher xG, BC, SiB, SoT & Shots.
Vardy has been taking more TiB and also boasts better creativity stats. He has recorded a higher xA, BCC & Key Passes
Comparison of GW1-33
Over the course of a full season, the comparison of the underlying stats is far more even on both the goalscoring & creativity fronts. Kane does still boast a significantly better number of Shots & SoT.
He also outperforms Vardy's creativity overall.
Over the course of a full season, the comparison of the underlying stats is far more even on both the goalscoring & creativity fronts. Kane does still boast a significantly better number of Shots & SoT.
He also outperforms Vardy's creativity overall.
Deep Dive into Kane- TOT
Fixtures: SHU (H), LEE (a), WOL (H), AVL (a)
Ownership: 45%
Kane is leading the golden boot race vs Salah by 1 goal (21v20G) with just 5 matches to go! His newfound creativity compared to prior seasons is very impressive & he is the talisman at Spurs
Fixtures: SHU (H), LEE (a), WOL (H), AVL (a)
Ownership: 45%
Kane is leading the golden boot race vs Salah by 1 goal (21v20G) with just 5 matches to go! His newfound creativity compared to prior seasons is very impressive & he is the talisman at Spurs
Underlying stats this season:
2,635 mins (30 appearances/ 30 starts)
140 touches in the penalty box
117 shots (45 on target)
71 shots inside the box
26 big chances
41 key passes (14 big chances created)
21 goals (16.97 xG)
13 assists (9.56 xA)
2,635 mins (30 appearances/ 30 starts)
140 touches in the penalty box
117 shots (45 on target)
71 shots inside the box
26 big chances
41 key passes (14 big chances created)
21 goals (16.97 xG)
13 assists (9.56 xA)
Son has not been pulling up any trees with his recent underlying attacking statistics and he seems an unwise risk for captaincy compared to the consistency of Kane. Kane has managed to have some of the best-attacking stats for FWDs this season despite the dips in Spurs own form.
Their opponents SHU have conceded have only kept 3 clean sheets this season (20th) having conceded 56 goals in the process (18th). Their defensive numbers are amongst the worst in the Premier League with an xGC of 61.08 (19th) from 87 big chances conceded (20th).
Predicted Points Tool is projecting 7 points in GW34. This is 1st for all positions this GW. Son is predicted to score 6.3 points (2nd) & Vardy 5.1 points (3rd).
Transfer rating
Kane is a great option for the remainder of the season and the main captaincy candidate of GW34.
Transfer rating
Kane is a great option for the remainder of the season and the main captaincy candidate of GW34.
If you sold him in the BGW33 due to his recent injury then this is the perfect week to bring him back.
Forwards that I recommend if you already own him, are Iheanacho, Wood, Bamford, Watkins or DCL.
Time to discuss Vardy now
Forwards that I recommend if you already own him, are Iheanacho, Wood, Bamford, Watkins or DCL.
Time to discuss Vardy now

Deep Dive into Vardy- LEI
Fixtures: SOU (a), NEW (H), MUN (a), CHE (a)
Ownership: 24%
Vardy is having a great season with 13 goals and 13 assists. However, he has been streaky and did go through a barren spell with no goals on either side of his hernia operation.
Fixtures: SOU (a), NEW (H), MUN (a), CHE (a)
Ownership: 24%
Vardy is having a great season with 13 goals and 13 assists. However, he has been streaky and did go through a barren spell with no goals on either side of his hernia operation.
His underlying attacking stats show that he has been unfortunate to not return in the recent weeks and his premium price points make it difficult to keep both him and Kane without taking money out of the midfield.
The emergence of the budget asset Iheanacho...
The emergence of the budget asset Iheanacho...
...leads me to believe that if you want to captain a Leicester player, that Kelechi is the better option of the two Foxes strikers. Which begs the question why keep Vardy if you would not captain him?
Underlying stats this season:
2,404 mins (29 appearances / 26 starts)
146 touches in the penalty box
71 shots (34 on target)
65 shots inside the box
31 big chances
24 key passes (9 big chances created)
13 goals (17.40 xG)
13 assists (6.58 xA)
2,404 mins (29 appearances / 26 starts)
146 touches in the penalty box
71 shots (34 on target)
65 shots inside the box
31 big chances
24 key passes (9 big chances created)
13 goals (17.40 xG)
13 assists (6.58 xA)
LEI only has 3 days between their Monday night game of GW33 and their next match vs Sou on Friday night in GW34. In stark contrast, Sou will be fresh for this match after a week off.
LEI boasts the 4th best-attacking stats in the PL. In fact, only LIV average more Big Chances per game than the Foxes.
Both the Southampton and Newcastle fixtures in the next 2 GWs are exciting for LEI. They could potentially have a DGW35 so 3 games in 2.
Both the Southampton and Newcastle fixtures in the next 2 GWs are exciting for LEI. They could potentially have a DGW35 so 3 games in 2.
The Predicted Points Tool is projecting 5.1 points for Vardy in Gameweek 34 vs Southampton (3rd across all positions).
Transfer rating
Vardy has been a great FPL asset for many seasons but despite his next few fixtures appeal, it would seem like the obvious move to sell him if you do not own Kane.
The FWDs I am most excited by for this final stretch are Iheanacho, Wood, Bamford, Watkins or DCL.
Vardy has been a great FPL asset for many seasons but despite his next few fixtures appeal, it would seem like the obvious move to sell him if you do not own Kane.
The FWDs I am most excited by for this final stretch are Iheanacho, Wood, Bamford, Watkins or DCL.
Upcoming 5GWs with the Fixture Ticker for both attack & defence.
*Please note the next two tickers are ordered by fixture difficulty for Gameweek 34 specifically with the best fixture at the top and the worst fixture at the bottom
*Please note the next two tickers are ordered by fixture difficulty for Gameweek 34 specifically with the best fixture at the top and the worst fixture at the bottom


**VOD / POD AVAILABLE NOW** Chart where we are and where we are going with @FPLNima @FPLmariner
Fixture Difficulty Rating Gw34+

Transfer Trends Gw34 & much more



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