THREAD: It’s Friday, so time for another #IpsosMORIScotat25 thread. With a week to go ‘til Scotland votes in #SP21, we’re looking at what the outcome might mean for Scotland – and the rest of the UK. (1/7)

Bar a big surprise (and a polling disaster – hope not!), the SNP will be the largest party after all the votes are counted. The big question is whether they will do enough to get an outright majority. So what might happen if they do? (2/7)

The SNP have indicated they will seek to hold #indyref2 within the term of the next parliament. And our polling indicates that a majority of people in each of the 4 nations of the UK think they should be able to do so (3/7)

Boris Johnson has, so far, ruled out a section 30 order for #indryef2. While No supporters think the Scot Gov should accept this, 54% of Yes supporters think they should take the UK Gov to court, and 33% that they should hold a Catalonia style wildcat indyref (4/7)

If there isn’t an outright SNP majority after May 6th, #indyref2 is not going to fall off the agenda. The UK public currently feels it’s unlikely the UK will persist in its current form in the medium-long term (5/7)

Whatever happens, a key issue for both sides in deciding when to push for/ resist #indyref2 is that at present, it is not at all clear what the outcome would be – support increased in late 2020, but polling indicates it’s now back to being too close to call (6/7)

For a longer take on #SP21, listen to @Emily_IpsosMORI, @rachelormston and @kezdugdale on our podcast at https://bit.ly/3xzP0hJ  and see https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/scottish-election-2021 for more or our #SP21 polling and research(7/7 END THREAD).