Gameweek 34 Analysis

Hello everyone and welcome to my FPL thread for GW34

#FPL #FPLCommunity

Fixtures to target

Tottenham vs Sheffield Utd

No better fixture to target than an officially relegated side to the championship and sits so far as the 3rd worst defence in the league . Match Winning is a "No-Choice " for Spurs

Chelsea vs Fulham

Fulham are fighting to rescue the relegation this year will face an in form Tuchel's side whom we are expecting to rest some of his players for the 2nd leg aganist Real Madrid . I can see a cleansheet for Chelsea with a lowscore win " 1-0 maybe "

Crystal Palace vs Man City

Despite we are not expecting our premium city players to play this game, yet we have other potential punts that might have some fun with POOR palace defence .

Do we have Sterling and Jesus owners here ?

I can also add Brighton vs Leeds as a " Tasty " fixture. If both teams played their way we can see a 2-2 game

Discussion & Comparisons

Best forwards for the final stretch

In my latest article for @allaboutfpl I discuss the forwards to target from now till the end of the season. Check it out https://twitter.com/fplosama/status/1387437009380200448

Everton Assets for potential DGW

Everton is one team whom are expected to have a double game week, As per @BenCrellin . The below table is showing the potential fixtures for FPL DGW35

If the above is confirmed then Everton is facing whu + avl and ( away from the Goodison park ) followed by SHU and WOL at Home . In the below section i will try to analyze Sigurdsson vs Rodriguez the last 4 gameweeks :

- Goals/Assists : 2/0 vs 1/1

- Mins per chances created : 82 vs 49

- Mins per attempt on target :109.7 vs 86.3

- Mins per attempt in the box : 82.3 vs 57.5

- Goal attempts: 9 vs 9

The heatmaps below shows a quite advantage for Siggy around the box rather than Hamez despite

Conclusion :

Despite there is no huge gap between both players with respect to their underlying stats, but for me set pieces, Penalty duties make the Iceland playmaker more preferable

Kane , Son or both ?

Spurs wil have decent run of fixtures when they face : SHU(H) - LEE(A) - WOL(H) - AVL(H) - LEI(A) . Let's have a quick look on Kane vs Son [ GW23 - GW33 ]:

Minutes played : 979 vs 873
Goals/Assists : 9/2 vs 3/3
xGi : 9.51 vs 4.72
Goal attempts (Target) : 48(29) vs 20(12)
Chances created : 12 vs 22

4 of their next five games are aganist poor defences which take us to stick for both , they potentially playing in BGW36 if confirmed

Iam keeping this incredible dual in my team if i still own both "However" I will be scouting Gareth Bale and his mins with Ryan Mason

Keep or Sell Jota

The firing start for Diogo Jota with Liverpool versus his current form make the owners to doubt whether to keep or replace him with other promising midfielders

Before you decide, i will try to analyze the firing period and the current form for the portuguese excluding his injury period
[ GW3 - GW11 vs GW26 - GW33 ] :

- Goals/Assists : 5/0 vs 3/0
- Mins per attempt in box : 35.8 vs 26.9
- Mins per shot on target : 45.5 vs 45.8
- Mins per Chances created : 84 vs 76
- Mins per xGi : 165.9 vs 158.5
- Goal Attempts : 20 vs 19

Diogo still provides huge numbers , however his Goal conversion rate had decreased from 25% to 15.8 % which make us think we may replace him with firing midfielders " Lingard - Pereira - Sigurdsson - even Zaha for a potenial easy DGW "

Conclusion :

If i have Jota i will keep faith with him specially with Liverpool easy Final stretch

Captaincy

Stats and Performance as per the last 6 Gameweeks

Harry Kane

- Time played : 449 mins
- 5 goals , 0 assists
- 3.57 xG (non-pen), 0.25 xA
- 22 Goal attempts ( 13 in box)
- 6 big chances ( Scored 5 )
- 2 Chances Created
- Touch / Shot heatmaps :

GW Opponents : Sheffield Utd

- Goals Conceded : 11
- Clean sheets : 1
- xG Conceeded : 11.28
- Shots in the box conceded: 56
- Shots on target conceded : 30
- Big Chances Conceded : 18
- Goal attempts conceded heatmap :

Kelechi Iheanacho

- Time played : 431 mins
- 7 goals , 0 assists
- 4.0 xG (non-pen), 1.05 xA
- 22 Goal attempts ( 14 in box)
- 7 big chances ( Scored 4 )
- 6 Chances Created
- Touch / Shot heatmaps :

GW Opponent: Southampton

- Goals Conceded : 9
- Clean sheets : 0
- xG Conceeded : 6.72
- Shots in the box conceded: 31
- Shots on target conceded : 20
- Big Chances Conceded : 11
- Goal attempts conceded heatmap :

Heung-Min Son

- Time played : 334 mins ( Starts 4 )
- 2 goals , 0 assist
- 0.74 xG (non-pen), 0.31 xA
- 9 Goal attempts ( 7 in box)
- 2 big chances ( Scored 2 )
- 7 Chances Created
- Touch / Shot heatmaps :

Differential Captaincy

Stats & Performance Over the last 6 Gameweeks

Matheus Pereira 5.5 - WOL (H) - TSB: 4.9%

- Time played : 406 mins
- 4 goals, 2 assists
- 0.98 xG (non-pen), 0.98 xA
- 14 goal attempts ( 6 in the box)
- 11 Chances created

Jesse Lingard6.7 - WHU (H) - TSB: 32.0%

- Time played : 447 mins
- 5 goals, 2 assists
- 1.18 xG (non-pen), 0.13 xA
- 14 goal attempts (8 in the box)
- 3 big chances ( Scored 3 )

Differential Picks

Chris Wood
6.3
Ownership: 2.6%
Fixture: WHU (H)

Gareth Bale
9.1
Ownership: 3.0%
Fixture: SHU (H)

Raheem Sterling
11.1
Owned by: 4.7%
Fixture : CRY (A)

Thanks for your reading. RTs and are highly appreciated

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