Been working on a side project, a simulation to predict how long it will take to run a bracket.

Only have it working for single elimination for now, but I have two examples of interesting data I think could be produced. More details in the replies.

RTs appreciated!

The model currently predicts based on:
# of Attendees
# of Setups
Average Best of 3 and 5 set lengths

The two plots in the original post display the effects of the number of setups, and how many best of 5 rounds the event has (top 4, top 16, etc.)

Besides integrating double elimination (the math sucks), I'm eventually hoping to calculate the number of friendly setups available over time and how many attendees go 0-2, 1-2. Also thinking about assigning different avg set lengths to certain attendees (zoners vs grapplers etc)

If you can think of any other data you would want to see in a software like this, or if you want to discuss how it works, feel free to reply in the comments. I'll quote RT this thread or something with updates if you're interested in seeing the final outcome. Ty for reading.