1/ Important #COVID19 vaxxine data thread. I have avoided tweeting about the vax issue as it’s become an immensely toxic topic. But there are some extremely worrying trends emerging between CV19 cases, deaths, & vaxxine administration.
#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

2/ Here, I will share publicly available data for #COVID19 vaxxinations, cases, & deaths in 17 countries + #Ontario & ask questions, as per the scientific method. You are free to make up your own mind regarding the trends shown.
#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

3/ #Israel was the one of the first countries to start CV19 vaxxinations (19-Dec-2020). Since vaxxinations began, both CV19 cases & deaths continued to increase for ~5 weeks. It took 3 months for cases+deaths return to pre-vax levels.
#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

4/ CV19 vaxxinations in #Israel are also associated w/ staggering increases in death for a month, as shown via CFR:

Age specific CFR changes post-vax (1 month):

80+: 220%
70-79: 600%
60-69: 0 deaths pre-vax, 66 deaths post-vax

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

5/ Moving further East, let’s start with the United Arab Emirates. We see both CV19 cases & deaths rising with vaxxine doses given. 4 months of vaxxinations later, #UAE still hasn’t returned to pre-vax case levels

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

6/ You see the same trend in #Bahrain. CV19 cases & deaths start rising as vaxxinations start. Also, as vaxxinations ramped up just before March 16th (2021), you see both cases + deaths follow w/ rising numbers as well

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

7/ #Kuwait has a similar trend: as vaxxinations started (29-Dec-2020) CV19 cases started to rise as well. And just as vaxxine doses shot up (Jan 26th), both CV19 cases & deaths rose in tandem too, & as vaxxinations fell, so did deaths

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

8/ Iran has also experienced increases in CV19 cases after vaxxinations started. Vaxxine doses administered sharply increased March 19th (2021), and were followed by an increase in both CV19 cases & deaths

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Iran

9/ Iran’s neighbour Pakistan is also experiencing rises in both CV19 cases & deaths after numbers of vaxxinations have gown up

*4th graph by @RuminatorDan

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Pakistan

10/ India is experiencing a significant increase in both CV19 cases & deaths these days. The graphs of CV19 cases, deaths, & share of people receiving their first vaxxine dose are virtually indistinguishable

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #India

11/ Now let’s move to South America. Chile started CV19 vaxxinations on Dec 24th 2020, & CV19 cases & deaths have been rising as vaxxine doses are administered daily

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Chile #America

12/ Uruguay started it’s CV19 vaxxinations on Feb 28th 2021, & it too, has seen a significant rise in CV19 cases & deaths following vaxxination

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Uruguay #SouthAmerica

13/ And finally, Ontario. CV19 cases seem to be walking in step with CV19 vaxxine doses administered to it’s population

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Ontario

14/ Let’s take a break & ask some Qs. How about an obvious one 1st:

R these in CV19 cases+deaths due to seasonal resurgence of infections that r coincidently as vaxxinations ?
We can answer this by looking at neighbouring countries that have different vaxxination rates

15/ Let’s look at 2 examples:

Israel started vaxxinations on 19-Dec-2020, & neighbouring Palestine started ~3.5 months later

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Israel #Palestine

16/ If the increases in CV19 cases & deaths in Israel was seasonal, then you would also see the same trend in cases+deaths in neighbouring Palestine. Cases continue to rise in Israel & but fall in Palestine

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Israel #Palestine

17/ Another example is #Austria & #Hungary. They had very similar CV19 case numbers throughout this pandemic & similar vaxxination rates since they started. But on Feb 18th 2021, Hungary significantly ramped up vaxxinations & cases shot up

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

18/ As a result of Hungary increasing it’s vaxxination rate vs. Austria, CV19 cases didn’t rise alone in Hungary, unfortunately deaths went up too

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Hungary #Austria #Europe

19/ If seasonality was causing an increase in the rising of CV19 cases & deaths, then these neighbouring countries would also be affected. The data so far shows that CV19 cases + deaths rise as a result of increasing vaxxinations

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

20/ But the perfect case study would be if a nation, preferably an island (isolated/no land borders), that had very little to no CV19 cases prior to vaxxinations, experienced a big jump in infections#s post-vax. Luckily, there are 3 we know of

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science

21/ The Isle of Man started administering vaxxinations on 25-Jan-2021. Prior to this, there were little to no CV19 infections, but a sharp increase in cases is seen as vaxxinations began

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #IsleofMan

22/ The island of Bonaire started it’s vaxxinations on 22-Feb-2021. It too, saw a significant increase in both CV19 cases & deaths after vaxxinations began. CV19 cases & deaths were low before vaxxinations began

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Bonaire

23/ Finally, the island of Seychelles, also saw a steep rise in both CV19 cases & deaths after vaxxinations started, & numbers of cases & deaths haven’t returned to pre-vax levels even after 3 months of vaxxinations

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data #Seychelles

24/ But these trends are not only seen on island nations, which are arguably the best case studies to show effects of vaxxinations on CV19 cases & deaths. This exact same trend is also seen in Cambodia, Thailand, & Laos. So how do we explain these data if it’s not seasonality?

25/ So a question that must be asked is:

Are vaxxines responsible for these rises in CV19 cases & deaths (3rd wave)? If they are, is there any evidence that vaxxinated people are:

a) getting CV19, and

b) being hospitalized/in ICUs?

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #Ontario #science

26/ There is actually a great deal of evidence, both anecdotal as well as in the published scientific literature, to show that vaxxinated people can get CV19. Even the #CDC has openly admitted this as well

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #science #data

27/ And ICU physicians in Toronto are starting to speak up about vaxxinated people ending up in ICUs as well

#cdnpoli #onpoli #Canada #Ontario #Toronto

28/ Another important question that needs answering is:

What is the mechanism behind vaxxinated people getting CV19? We unfortunately don’t know yet for sure, but there are a couple of hypotheses being discussed, which I shall address in my next thread soon.

#cdnpoli #onpoli

@threadreaderapp Unroll please!

I wanted to give a huge shout out to

@RealJoelSmalley
@RuminatorDan &
@rubiconcapital_

They have been sharing some phenomenal data throughout this pandemic, & I used some of their graphs in my thread. Please give them a follow if you’re interested in a data driven perspective