
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten"> FOMC

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">FFR & IOER left unchanged

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Maintains asset purchases at current pace (USD 80bln of USTs)

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">"indicators of economic activity and employment have strengthened amid progress on vaccinations and strong policy support"
~
@Newsquawk

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten"> Eurodollar futures continue to fully price in first fed hike in March 2023, after Fed statement

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Dollar index reverses gains on FOMC statement, last down 0.07% on the day to 90.835

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten"> US treasury yields reverse direction and are now lower after Fed statement, 10-year yields last at 1.640%

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten"> Link to live
@tradingview screencast for those without charts:
https://uk.tradingview.com/chart/zZdLVtAt/ (works">https://uk.tradingview.com/chart/zZd... on mobile too)

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten"> Team
@Newsquawk on point as per usual.
https://twitter.com/newsquawk/status/1387470281724370945">https://twitter.com/newsquawk...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇺🇸" title="Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Vereinigten Staaten"> Eurodollar futures price in more than 90% chance of Fed hike in December 2022

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warnsignal" aria-label="Emoji: Warnsignal"> Powell&
#39;s Presser Begins

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warnsignal" aria-label="Emoji: Warnsignal">
Link to watch:
https://youtu.be/HvqR0emS7Qs ">https://youtu.be/HvqR0emS7...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The recovery remains uneven, remains incomplete.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The worst-affected areas of the economy have improved.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Spending on services has picked up

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Vaccinations should allow return to more normal this year.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Conditions in the labor market have continued to improve.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The unemployment rate remains high.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The 6% unemployment rate understates the job gap.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Inflation to rise somewhat further before moderating

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The spending pickup to boost prices, likely temporarily

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The 12-month measures of PCE inflation in the near term is expected to exceed 2%.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Near-zero rates appropriate until goals met.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">A transitory increase in inflation this year does not fulfill the criteria for raising interest rates.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The economy is a *long way* from our goals

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Significant development is expected to take *some time* to accomplish.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Treasury securities will begin to grow by $80 billion a month.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Now is not the time to begin discussing tapering.
~ Stocks liking the ramming home of &
#39;no taper on the current horizon&
#39; chat

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Economic activity havs just recently picked up, will take some time to meet that bar

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">It is not time to begin discussing tapering of asset purchases

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The economy can&
#39;t fully recover until people feel it&
#39;s safe to resume activities.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Controlling virus is most important factor to recovery

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">There is no monitor for liftoff or taper in relation to the virus.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">It is doubtful that we will see a sustained increase in inflation as slack remains in the labor market

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">It would take time to move inflation expectations up, would expect that to come with strong labor market.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Tabelle mit Abwärtstrend" aria-label="Emoji: Tabelle mit Abwärtstrend"> US 10-year treasury yields drop sharply to session low of 1.615% as Fed&
#39;s Powell speaks

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We are very worried about scarring in labor market.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">So far, we haven&
#39;t seen that kind of scarring.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">It&
#39;s going to be a different economy.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen"> Just leaving this here..
https://twitter.com/PriapusIQ/status/1387336448379179009?s=20">https://twitter.com/PriapusIQ...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">It seems quite unlikely unemployed service-sector workers will quickly find work.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We are watching housing prices carefully. The rise is because of low inventory, strong demand.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The housing sector is clearly the best it&
#39;s been after the financial crisis.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Rise is because of low inventory and strong demand

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Clearly strongest housing market since financial crisis

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Wages are unlikely to rise, that would be something seen in a tight job market

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">During the previous expansion, labour supply increased.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">I expect workers to return to work in order to fill positions, and that perhaps pay will rise as a result.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">It could take months to re-establish the labour supply and demand equilibrium.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📈" title="Tabelle mit Aufwärtstrend" aria-label="Emoji: Tabelle mit Aufwärtstrend">Eurodollar futures slightly paring bets on Fed rate hikes, but no change in time frame so far
~ A look at yields:

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The economy is gaining positive traction.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">During time of reopening we are likely to see upward pressure on prices, but it will be temporary.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">An episode of one-time price increases is not likely to lead to persistent inflation

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">One-time price rises as the economy reopens are unlikely to result in persistently strong inflation, which would be contrary to the Fed&
#39;s objectives.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">If we do see inflation expectations materially above 2% would use tools to bring it down.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Base effects carry no implication for the rate of inflation.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The base effect would add around 1% to headline inflation.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen"> Eyes on the markets
~ Link to follow the charts:
https://uk.tradingview.com/chart/zZdLVtAt/ ">https://uk.tradingview.com/chart/zZd...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We&
#39;re in close touch with industries on bottlenecks.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Bottlenecks, by nature, are things that will eventually be resolved.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Bottlenecks in supply chains that increase prices do not call for a change in Fed policy. It&
#39;s hard to predict how long they will linger.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">A string is not one really good employment report.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We are a long way from our goals, and we don&
#39;t need to get all the way to our goals to taper.
~ don&
#39;t get excited by that last line, as
@Yogi_Chan notes on the
@Newsquawk mic, it&
#39;s nothing new.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Archegos risks didn&
#39;t rise to a systemic level.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Powell when asked about a central bank digital currency: We feel an obligation to understand the tech and policy issues very very well.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We need to see if that will be a good thing for the people we serve and understand how a DC would work in the US.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">With the dollar as the world&
#39;s reserve currency, less concerned that another country would have a digital currency first.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Inflation expectations are now more consistent with Fed&
#39;s 2% inflation target than pre-pandemic.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Breakevens are at levels pretty close to mandate consistent.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The supply side will take time to adapt to a strong surge in demand.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Some asset prices are high.
~ Stocks not a fan of that comment..

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Leverage in the financial system is not a problem.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Funding risks are low.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The overall situation of financial stability is mixed, but it still is manageable.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We do expect further downward pressure on short-term rates.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">At this point did not see a need to adjust IOER.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The Federal Reserve&
#39;s fund rate has remained within its target range.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Powell when asked about capital requirements for banks: US banks made it through a real stress test very well. Capital in the banking system is in a good place.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">We are looking at ways to make money market funds and corporate bond funds more resilient.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Powell on treasury market structure: Dealers committing less capital than they did 10-15 years ago.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">There are some questions about treasury market structure, work is being done to see if there&
#39;s something we can do about it. For the sake of our economy, it must work properly

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The Treasury Department will be in charge of the treasury market structure review.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">Powell when asked about MBS purchases: They are closely related to treasury market.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">The Fed will taper asset purchases when the time comes.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔹" title="Kleine blaue Raute" aria-label="Emoji: Kleine blaue Raute">What we have seen is not close to substantial further progress.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🌟" title="Leuchtender Stern" aria-label="Emoji: Leuchtender Stern"> We conclude with a link to the elite
@Newsquawk highlight reel -
https://newsquawk.com/headlines/snap-analysis-powell-press-conference-sticks-to-the-script-provides-no-taper-signal-28-04-2021">https://newsquawk.com/headlines...
And a final look at the markets -

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🛑" title="Stoppzeichen" aria-label="Emoji: Stoppzeichen">
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.