I'm taking a twitter holiday for the next few weeks.

I'll explain why I've chosen now.

I think the time is right.

1) Cases

The "fourth wave" still hasn't come.

If cases do rise, they should only rise gradually.

The daily numbers are less and less important.

Hospital levels are now back to levels last seen before the second wave.

There isn't as much to say nowadays.

2) Vaccines

The rollout continues to pick up pace.

A lot of the big delivery / safety crises have come and gone.

There is a clear delivery schedule ahead which should largely be met.

3) Hope

There was a lot of despair in Q1.

I did a lot to highlight the positives, against a prevailing misery.

As the rollout picks up, the need for this analysis is fading.

I can already see people are more upbeat recently.

Things are improving.

4) Time

I took one week off last summer but otherwise I've been pouring over the figures most evenings the past 14 months.

I enjoy it, but I think a long break will do me good.

My current thinking is a break until mid-June. We should know by then whether the Q2 target will be met and what sort of reopening is coming over the summer.

Finally, I just want to thank everyone who has supported my work to date.

My account won't be deactivated so you can still review historic data.

I might do the odd Like / RT if I take a sneaky look at what's being said!

Otherwise, see you in a few weeks.