Here's your Tuesday COVID analysis for AB. Abbreviated b/c it's late and I'm tired and rather despondent. 1/

Yesterday's case #s 1601, a 17.5% increase over last week's 1362. Positivity a record high 11.39% (previous record 11.16% on Dec 3). This is super worrisome, it means we are missing a ton of community spread, that our test/trace/isolation system is completely broken. 2/

Variants announced 812, or 50.7% of today's cases. P1 +23, the remainder B1117. Daily B1117%: Apr 24 1001/1465 68.3 % 3/

Hospitalitzation inpt +18 (Sun to Mon) to 483. +9 Mon to today to 492. 7 day growth rate to Monday 33.7% (steepening growth). ICU +0 remains at 143. 7 day growth rate 37.5%... stable and disastrous growth. 4/

Deaths 7. Second day in a row of deaths >5. I worry this is a new trend. (death info source: @GlobalEdmonton)

If our positivity is 11.3%, what is our actual daily case rate? Every time our leaders say the curve is bending, we should be excited by this... is this really true? I posit that we really have no idea where we are at now. Everything is conjecture, except that it is bad. fin/

Source for graphics : @CBCFletch