I admire @joerogan. His conversational style & his reach are phenomenal. But I think his advice that young people not get vaccinated misses the mark. Young people are at low risk of death no matter what. COVID19 increases their risk by ~30%. Why not avoid this with a safe shot?

Furthermore, young people also need to do their part for benefit of our society. Rich people need to pay more taxes. Healthcare workers take a risk of death. So have essential workers. Many have suffered. It’s not a lot to ask to simply get a vaccine to help restore our society.

Calculations very rough: a 21 yo man has ~0.05% chance of death if infected with SARS-CoV-2. Actuarial risk of death in next year at baseline was 0.1288% ( https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html). Getting infected increases risk of death (from a low baseline).

This tool, regarding risk of hospitalization and death, if unvaccinated and infected, according various attributes, via @TheEconomist is also helpful: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2021/03/11/how-we-built-our-covid-19-risk-estimator