🇵🇹 Could Portugal be a feasible holiday destination this summer?

- One of the lowest case-rates in Europe.

- Vaccinations on the rise.

Both are key factors considered by the UK 🇬🇧 government when categorising nations in early May.

My thread exploring the latest! 👇
To begin, let’s explore cases.

In the last 7-days (April 19-25), Portugal reported 3,441 cases.

That’s a 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people of 33.4.

As mentioned in the first tweet, Portugal’s current case-load is looking much better than other nations... 👇

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Alongside the UK, cases in Portugal have effectively plateaued.

This is very good to see, especially with the vaccination programme in effect across the nation.

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Always important to consider testing data too.

Sadly, the testing data for the latest case-set I’ve chosen isn’t available.

I’ve therefore taken the average number of tests taken over the last three weeks & made a prediction of the number of tests done in the last 7-days.

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Let’s therefore assume around 260,000 tests were performed in the last 7-days (April 19-25).

With 3,441 tests returning positive in this period, that’s a positivity rate of 1.3%.

This is incredibly low... and something which will be considered by the UK government!

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And to make a comparison to other countries, you can see Portugal’s positivity rate is far lower than other nations... 👇

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đź’‰ We must consider vaccinations too...

Sadly, this isn’t Portugal’s strong point.

Like the rest of the European Union, the nation had a slow start.

BUT - the pace has picked up, and things are heading in the right direction... 👇

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As of April 25th, Portugal has given at least one dose to 2,194,527 individuals.

Assuming a population of 10.3 million, that’s equivalent to around 21.3% of Portugal’s inhabitants.

Speed of inoculation has increased too in recent weeks... 👇

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🇵🇹 Time for the big question then.

🚦 Under the UK government’s “traffic light” system, which category will Portugal fall into?

I’m quite optimistic that from May 17th, we could see Portugal in the “green” category.

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Cases are very low, and so is the positivity rate.

The only concern is vaccinations... but the pace is picking up.

🟢 The fact cases & the positivity rate have been low for a while do help the case for the nation to be on the “green” list!

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Regarding entry restrictions for Brits... Portugal has already lifted their “flight ban” on those travelling from the UK.

Testing / vaccine passport schemes will be in place.

Of course, until May 17th “non-essential” international travel remains banned in the UK.

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I hope this provides an insight into the current situation in Portugal!

Things are looking good for the nation... I just hope the UK government sees this (it has a good chance compared to some other EU nations...!)

Will have more tweets out exploring other countries!

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