New APSR from @LeoBaccini & @SJWeymouth shows that manufacturing losses pushed whites toward GOP & white identity politics, but pushed Black & Latinos toward Dems. It's not race vs economics--they're linked!

Design: Bartik IV

h/t @Jacob_S_Hacker

ungated https://www.stephenweymouth.com/files/Baccini_Weymouth_APSR_May2021.pdf

The way to study this isn't a horserace where you put racial attitudes & economic circumstances in a regression and see which coefficient is bigger. It's that US economic decline is racialized. Deindustrialization and labor union decline + GOP strategy = white identity politics.

Obligatory self-promotion for me and @pfrymer. Revitalizing the labor movement is key to reducing white identity politics and building multiracial coalitions.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12537