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Happy census day! In two hours, the census will release 2020 state population counts, revealing which states will gain/lose congressional seats & Electoral College votes in reapportionment.
As a preview, here's what the 2020 estimates showed, but several states are on the bubble
As a preview, here's what the 2020 estimates showed, but several states are on the bubble
While this data will tell us how many congressional seats each state gets, we still won't know how the population within states has been redistributed until the census publishes census block-level data in August, when redistricting will begin in earnest https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1386731599098650627?s=20
We'll update these maps once the 2020 reapportionment numbers are out, but these cartograms based on 2019 pop estimates show the partisan control over 2020s congressional & legislative redistricting. GOP is set to draw 2-3 times as many districts as Dems https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/5/1992656/-The-2020-elections-were-a-disaster-for-a-decade-of-redistricting-further-securing-GOP-minority-rule
BREAKING: The U.S. Census Bureau has released 2020 reapportionment data showing which states have gained & lost congressional seats following the 2020 census. As shown on this map, six states gained 1 or more districts, while seven states lost a seat https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2021/4/26/2027675/-New-census-data-shows-six-states-gaining-House-seats-and-seven-losing-out-for-the-coming-decade
Based on 2020 reapportionment numbers released today, this map shows the partisan control over congressional redistricting by state (we'll update this in cartogram form soon). The GOP will draw 38%-46% of districts & Dems just 16% https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/5/1992656/-The-2020-elections-were-a-disaster-for-a-decade-of-redistricting-further-securing-GOP-minority-rule https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1386765554854232064?s=20
Had these new 2020 reapportionment numbers been used for the Electoral College last year, Joe Biden's victory would have been reduced slightly from 306-232 to 303-235, a net shift of three electoral votes to Trump.
A decade ago, reapportionment reduced Obama's 2008 win by 6 EVs https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1386765554854232064
A decade ago, reapportionment reduced Obama's 2008 win by 6 EVs https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1386765554854232064
Compared to population projections, Sun Belt states gained fewer seats than expected, with AZ, FL, & TX each falling 1 seat shy of expectations, benefitting MN, NY, & RI.
This could be a sign that Trump's sabotage/the pandemic may have undercounted Latino communities especially
This could be a sign that Trump's sabotage/the pandemic may have undercounted Latino communities especially
Goes to show you how important counting every person is https://twitter.com/LisaDNews/status/1386764332218912769
