With the president's joint address coming this week, some of us are busy biting our nails and wondering what his paid leave proposal will be.

Others are scratching their heads, wondering “what does paid leave have to do with economic policy anyway?”

Here are some ideas💡.(1/18)
Labor force participation is a key engine of GDP growth, and the bulk of evidence suggests that paid leave increases LFP, especially for women.

Well-defined on- and off-ramps to work around a new child's arrival keep women doing the work that keeps the economy humming. (2/18)
Here’s one study that makes that point: (3/18)

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/pam.21894
But while when you hear “paid leave!” you might think “babies!” in reality, people are most likely to use paid leave for their own serious medical condition. (4/18)
“Okay cool,” you say, “paid leave keeps workers working.” But what if I told you that the economic benefits of paid leave don’t stop with this generation of workers? (8/18)
Here's a list of ways paid leave boosts kids' human capital:

-⬆️breastfeeding
-⬆️time parents talk and read to kids
-⬆️homework help from parents

-⬇️ADHD
-⬇️obesity
-⬇️ear infections + hearing problems
-⬇️head trauma (a sign of child abuse)

Wowza! (9/18)
And paid leave is especially great when it comes to supporting small businesses, whose thin profit margins make it challenging to offer paid leave on their own. (10/18)
Research from CA, RI, and NY finds that small businesses♥️ paid leave.

And a new study of NY's state policy finds that paid leave made it EASIER for small businesses to accommodate absences, even as leave-taking increased.

No wonder small employers like the policy! (11/18)
Given all that, perhaps it’s not surprising that the smart people at @SPGlobal and @McKinsey estimate that in concert with other care infrastructure policies, paid leave policy could lead to big-time GDP growth.

5%!
2.4 trillion dollars!

(12/18)
Okay, last thing. Guess what. Paid leave isn’t just a good investment in the vibrancy of our economy, it’s a sustainable one! (13/18)
So, paid leave policy == economic policy, which is crucial to our recovery from the COVID crisis.

Now it’s time to wait and see what our policymakers propose… (16/18)
Or you can check out other work by some of the very smart economists and other social scientists whose research is cited in this thread:

@christopherruhm
@SamanthaTraj
@maya_rossin
@Waldfogel
@EileenAppelbaum
@MSlopen

(18/18)
You can follow @alixgouldwerth.
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