Read on Twitter
We are going to witness an implosion over at $XOM Mobil that dwarfs what we see in the auto industry over the next 5 years. This is one of the worst-run companies with the worst balance sheets I've ever come across.
I hate shorting in general, but this one strongly tempts me.
I hate shorting in general, but this one strongly tempts me.
Top-line revenues in terminal decline:
Free cash flow in terminal decline, and currently negative ($2.6) billion:
...this in spite slashing their reinvestment rate (capex-depreciation/depletion) to below 1.0 to "conserve" cash:
with $4 billion in cash on hand, while staring at $67 BILLION in total debt, including $20 billion in debt coming due in the next 12 months:
With cash and liquidity being rapidly depleted because of an irrational and frankly reckless commitment to paying a dividend which they cannot afford:
Having the effect of rapidly depleting liquidity:
...and surging debt levels relative to EBITDA to all-time highs.
Note: their Net Debt / EBITDA isn't terrible at 1.1X, but EBITDA is meaningless if your unlevered free cash flow is negative, which is the case for Exxon.
Note: their Net Debt / EBITDA isn't terrible at 1.1X, but EBITDA is meaningless if your unlevered free cash flow is negative, which is the case for Exxon.
Worst of all, this is a company that's in denial of any transition to renewable energy-powered electric cars even occurring, having zero initiatives to prepare for such an outcome and care more about paying its dividend (which btw it can't afford without borrowing money):
I hate shorting in general, but this is greatly tempting me to do it. This is a hot mess of a company with an abysmal balance sheet and utter dinosaurs running the company with old-school MBA-thinking.
It's hard to change old, established ways of thinking and doing things.
It's hard to change old, established ways of thinking and doing things.
