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In March, we saw many states with 90%+ of delivered supply used. That was very efficient vaccine usage, but also tight supply.
Those % figures are now falling, as they probably should. Tight supply is not what you want when you& #39;re targeting harder-to-reach/convince populations.
Those % figures are now falling, as they probably should. Tight supply is not what you want when you& #39;re targeting harder-to-reach/convince populations.
The Biden admin says they& #39;re pursuing a policy of "overwhelm the problem". That means:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💉" title="Spritze" aria-label="Emoji: Spritze">Lots of vaccine sitting around, ready
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏪" title="Gemischtwarenladen" aria-label="Emoji: Gemischtwarenladen">At lots of locations
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📆" title="Abreißkalender" aria-label="Emoji: Abreißkalender">Many open appointments
If you saw that in March, you& #39;d say "this is a failure." This is a different point in the rollout.
If you saw that in March, you& #39;d say "this is a failure." This is a different point in the rollout.
The Biden team was very happy, as were lots of people, about big dose numbers a month ago. Here& #39;s how they& #39;re talking about it now, which more or less matches w/ my read:
“Going forward, we expect daily vaccination rates will moderate and fluctuate.”
“We’ve gotten vaccinations to the most at-risk and those most eager to get vaccinated as quickly as possible."
“It’s OK if there’s not a long line of 1,000 people... That’s good, that was the plan.”
“We’ve gotten vaccinations to the most at-risk and those most eager to get vaccinated as quickly as possible."
“It’s OK if there’s not a long line of 1,000 people... That’s good, that was the plan.”
I think that& #39;s correct. It doesn& #39;t mean there& #39;s not a lot of work to do! It just means that work, and the numbers, look different.
"Mass" vaccination is useful when you have a huge mass of people who all need and want to be vaccinated at once.
What& #39;s next is more boutique.
"Mass" vaccination is useful when you have a huge mass of people who all need and want to be vaccinated at once.
What& #39;s next is more boutique.
This whole https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧵" title="Thread" aria-label="Emoji: Thread"> is more or less what I& #39;ve written here, btw: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-25/when-will-u-s-vaccination-be-done-we-re-getting-closer?sref=leQ3i2ya">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...
There is some very good news here. There are a LOT of people who have gotten their first shots. Almost all of them seem likely to complete their second. (I know there& #39;s a sort of doomsy piece in the Times today, but... it& #39;s still 92% completion)
Right now, the U.S. is about where Israel was in mid-Feb. (This uses our apples to apples "enough for X% metric, which helps create good comparisons).
They kept vaccinating after that point to about 50% of their pop. (and are now at ~60%).
Look at the case curve.
They kept vaccinating after that point to about 50% of their pop. (and are now at ~60%).
Look at the case curve.
(The usual caveats: The U.S. isn& #39;t Israel, etc etc etc)
I hope this helps people as they think about how to read the numbers going forward. In short:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📦" title="Paket" aria-label="Emoji: Paket">Supply % is gonna go up
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Tabelle mit Abwärtstrend" aria-label="Emoji: Tabelle mit Abwärtstrend">Vaccine numbers are going to go down
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧑🏭" title="Fabrikarbeiter(in)" aria-label="Emoji: Fabrikarbeiter(in)">The next phase means reaching people at a grind, not a rush
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🕯️" title="Kerze" aria-label="Emoji: Kerze">That& #39;s probably fine
Here& #39;s our full vaccine tracker, which I hope you& #39;ll give a look at bookmark: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/?sref=leQ3i2ya">https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/...
And here& #39;s my story, which has a few things not in this thread: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-25/when-will-u-s-vaccination-be-done-we-re-getting-closer?sref=leQ3i2ya">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...
