Read on Twitter
1/ The NFL draft prospect I am probably most invested in is Ja'Marr Chase.
In February, I made my first bet on him, and I have steadily added to the position since then.
Here are some thoughts -- and more bets I'm making -- on Chase.
THREAD
In February, I made my first bet on him, and I have steadily added to the position since then.
Here are some thoughts -- and more bets I'm making -- on Chase.
THREAD
2/ Bob McGinn is one of the best all-around draft writers in the business.
His annual position-by-position draft series is something every serious football fan should read.
In researching, he interviews many talent evaluators (scouts, GMs, et al.).
He is incredibly thorough.
His annual position-by-position draft series is something every serious football fan should read.
In researching, he interviews many talent evaluators (scouts, GMs, et al.).
He is incredibly thorough.
3/ Unanimously, the evaluators ranked Chase as the top wide receiver in this year's class.
Not since 2007 -- with Calvin Johnson -- have the evaluators all singled out just one receiver as the clear top option in a cohort.
Not since 2007 -- with Calvin Johnson -- have the evaluators all singled out just one receiver as the clear top option in a cohort.
4/ Barring anything unforeseen, Chase will be the No. 1 wide receiver selected on Thursday night.
He has a very strong chance to go to CIN at No. 5. I'd be shocked if he fell past MIA at No. 6. I haven't seen him fall past DET at No. 7 in any mock.
He has a very strong chance to go to CIN at No. 5. I'd be shocked if he fell past MIA at No. 6. I haven't seen him fall past DET at No. 7 in any mock.
5/ So my position is clear: I think it's highly likely that Chase is the No. 1 wide receiver, that he goes to CIN at No. 5, and that he's a lock for the top 10.
Here's how I'm betting that ...
Here's how I'm betting that ...
6/ Ja'Marr Chase is -650 on FOX Bet to be the No. 1 wide receiver selected.
I would probably bet him to -1000.
Chase WR1: -650, 1 unit https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/fox-bet?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
I would probably bet him to -1000.
Chase WR1: -650, 1 unit https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/fox-bet?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
7/ Ja'Marr Chase is +120 at PointsBet to go to the Bengals.
I think it should be even money.
Chase to CIN: +120, 1 unit. https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/pointsbet?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
I think it should be even money.
Chase to CIN: +120, 1 unit. https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/pointsbet?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
8/ The Bengals are +120 at William Hill to take a wide receiver -- and I expect that receiver will be Chase.
This should be +100.
WR to CIN: +120, 1 unit https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/william-hill?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
This should be +100.
WR to CIN: +120, 1 unit https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/william-hill?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
9/ Ja'Marr Chase will go in the top 10. There's maybe just a 1% chance that he won't -- and even that feels high. He's -1600 to go in top 10 at Bet365.
For context, he's -20000 at FanDuel.
Chase Top 10: -1600, 1 unit https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/bet365?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
For context, he's -20000 at FanDuel.
Chase Top 10: -1600, 1 unit https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/bet365?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
10/ In fantasy, Chase could make an impact right away, and he should be the No. 1 receiver selected in dynasty rookie drafts. https://www.actionnetwork.com/fantasy-football/jamarr-chase-draft-profile-dynasty-fantasy-props-bets-2021?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
11/ In my most recent mock draft, I have him going to MIA at No. 6.
When I update the mock next week, he will be No. 5 to CIN. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/updated-2021-nfl-mock-draft-april-13?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
When I update the mock next week, he will be No. 5 to CIN. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/updated-2021-nfl-mock-draft-april-13?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=matthewfreedman
