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The cases in India show no sign of peaking - and they will not, because no action is being taken to prevent this in most parts of India. Cases in all states rising exponentially now & nothing imposed except night/weeked curfews in most places. Why? 
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Here& #39;s the situation in India - every state has its own decision making capacity & what we& #39;re seeing now is exponential rises in *all* states. There is no part of India that is spared, but exponential rises have started at different time points - some later and some earlier.
What is absolutely clear is that even the places that are not where Delhi is will be there unless they do something to prevent this- because the rate of growth looks similar across all places - it& #39;s just at different points.
Unfortunately most state govts are not doing much.
Unfortunately most state govts are not doing much.
Most states (except the ones in most dire situations- where lockdowns have been imposed only recently) have responded by imposing night time or weekend curfews- which are far from sufficient. Fairly large gatherings are being allowed in many places.
Slow & insufficient action will cost thousands of lives. Despite the horrific scenes we& #39;re seeing in Delhi where oxygen shortages, and shortages in healthcare mean that people are dying at home or outside hospitals - I cannot understand why state govts aren& #39;t acting.
The trajectory of exponential growth is inevitable and tragic, and it& #39;s already begun.
Here are some states that have taken decisions not to act- despite full knowledge of what& #39;s happening. There are many more.
https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/lucknow-news/no-need-to-impose-complete-covid-19-lockdown-in-uttar-pradesh-cmo-101618848869942.html">https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/lu... https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punjab/punjab-rules-out-lockdown-243372">https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punj...
Here are some states that have taken decisions not to act- despite full knowledge of what& #39;s happening. There are many more.
https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/lucknow-news/no-need-to-impose-complete-covid-19-lockdown-in-uttar-pradesh-cmo-101618848869942.html">https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/lu... https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punjab/punjab-rules-out-lockdown-243372">https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punj...
Even Delhi, where the situation is dire, only a *6 day* lockdown was imposed on the 19th April- and it *still hasn& #39;t been extended*. It will end on the 26th April, unless the govt extends it? What on earth is going on here? https://www.india.com/news/delhi/delhi-lockdown-news-updates-today-april-2021-cait-traders-urge-arvind-kejriwal-to-extend-delhi-lockdown-delhi-coronavirus-latest-update-oxygen-crisis-4610248/">https://www.india.com/news/delh...
West Bengal, one of the badly hit states has completely ruled out lockdown and until very recently had tens of thousands of people gathering for election rallies organised by the govt: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/mamata-rules-out-possibility-of-lockdown-in-west-bengal/articleshow/82221502.cms">https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/indi...
The argument is that lockdowns kill the economy, and poor people suffer. COVID-19 kills people- in an exponential way until we act. If we don& #39;t act now, people will keep dying - with the poor being the most hit. If you want to protect poor people, support them, don& #39;t expose them
The saddest part is that deaths usually peak ~3 weeks after cases do, and deaths are growing *exponentially* - so if we don& #39;t contain cases now, and India is already experiencing oxygen shortages, what does the future hold? And when will this disaster end? https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1385598099100418048?s=20">https://twitter.com/dgurdasan...
This isn& #39;t something that just hit India out of the blue. It& #39;s something that& #39;s been happening for a while without any action being taken. Indian govt has the agency to contain this - why are they doing nothing, fully knowing things will continue to get worse?
Other states are very quickly going to be where Delhi is now - the trajectory is absolutely crystal clear. Why on earth would anyone sleepwalk into this? Especially when they can see what& #39;s happening in states ahead of them on this entirely predictable trajectory.
This entirely preventable disaster is on the hands of govts who are *still* in denial - their inaction will cost thousands of lives, and unimaginable devastation and suffering.
