#COVID19 Mumbai : One encouraging news coming in from Mumbai, which shows us some glimmer of hope.

As per ATE Chandra Foundation's model, the Seroprevalence in Mumbai has reached 40%, and this means cases will only come down in the coming weeks. ..

Thread

Seroprevalence means the existence of Covid19 antibodies in the  general population. As per this model, 40% of entire Mumbai now has the anti-bodies due to vaccination or new infections, and as seen in the UK,

once Seroprevalence touches 60-65% in a population, sharp decline of new cases is witnessed.

Maybe this is the reason that the new cases in Mumbai has plateaued at a lower level, since last week.

As shared by Anand Mahindra, this peak of 60% can be witnessed by May 1st week, and that will be the peak. 

If maximum population is vaccinated, and people wear masks and take precautions, then we can control this 2nd wave as early as July.

As observed in all the previous pandemics, 2nd wave is the hardest, and a 3rd wave if comes, is the weakest. 

The next 6 weeks will determine the end of this pandemic. Stay strong, stay alert, and help others. We need to be on the winning side.

End