Not to burst any bubbles ( @Caitlyn_Jenner), and tabloids are gonna tabloid regardless, but comparisons with @Schwarzenegger and the 2003 California recall are, to put it bluntly, a bunch of hooey/1
Much of his appeal was based not so much on celebrity as his stance as a political outsider and perceptions Arnold transcended both major parties. But that experiment in on-the-job gubernatorial training didn't end so well/2
By the time he left office, Schwarzenegger's disapproval level reached 70%, which is where it stood for Democrat Gray Davis just before he was kicked out off office/3
Given that, it’s questionable whether Californians will go the celebrity-governor route again. It also doesn’t help that Jenner’s candidacy includes heavy input from Team Trump, including a fundraiser who helped organize the rally that preceded the deadly Capitol insurrection/4
That is all.
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