🧵Frayed ends GW33🧵

➡️ GW round-up
➡️ Captaincy
➡️ Differentials
➡️ Teams to target/avoid
➡️ Community questions

(I have been very caught up with work and family business this week so the last few sections don't have as much analasis as I would have liked. Sorry!)
➡️GW round-up

In this section I’ll look at the matches from the last GW and dissect the stats for both teams and players. Then I’ll compare some similar players and their performances in the match.
Game 1: Everton vs Spurs

Goals: 2 vs 2
xG: 1.79 vs 1.39
Shots: 18 vs 12
SoT: 7 vs 3

Top players for…

xG: H.Kane (0.99), G.Sigurdsson (0.98), Richarlison (0.3)
BCC: H.Kane (2), G.Sigurdsson (1)
Shots: H.Kane (5), Richarlison (5), G.Sigurdsson (4)
H.Kane vs H.M.Son
Mins: 89 vs 90
Goals: 2 vs 0
xG: 0.99 vs 0.17
Shots: 5 vs 3
SoT: 2 vs 1
CC: 2 vs 3
BCC: 2 vs 0
FPL points: 12 vs 2
Game 2: Newcastle vs West Ham

Goals: 3 vs 2
xG: 2.27 vs 1.95
Shots: 16 vs 16
SoT: 8 vs 6

Top players for…

xG: Joelinton (0.97), J.Lingard (0.87), A.Saint-Maximin (0.64)
BCC: J.Lingard, V.Coufal, J.Bowen, Joelinton (1)
Shots: A.Saint-Maximin (5), J.Lingard (4), J.Bowen (3)
J.Lingard vs J.Bowen
Mins: 87 vs 90
Goals: 1 vs 0
xG: 0.87 vs 0.24
Assists: 0 vs 1
xA: 0.0 vs 0.2
Shots: 4 vs 3
SoT: 1 vs 2
CC: 0 vs 2
FPL points: 7 vs 5
Game 3: Wolves vs Sheffield United

Goals: 1 vs 0
xG: 1.13 vs 0.31
Shots: 10 vs 8
SoT: 5 vs 2

Top players for…

xG: R.Saiss (0.45), A.Traoré (0.2), W.Boly (0.15)
BCC: F.Silva (1)
Shots: A.Traoré (3), D.McGoldrick (3), F.Silva (2), E.Stevens (2)
R.Saiss vs C.Coady vs Boly
Mins: 90 vs 90 vs 90
xG: 0.45 vs 0.0 vs 0.15
Shots: 1 vs 0 vs 1
SoT: 1 vs 0 vs 1
FPL points: 8 vs 7 vs 6

W.José vs F.Silva
Mins: 77 vs 13
Goals: 1 vs 0
xG: 0.13 vs 0.11
Shots: 1 vs 2
SoT: 1 vs 1
CC: 1 vs 1
FPL points: 9 vs 1
Game 4: Arsenal vs Fulham

Goals: 1 vs 1
xG: 2.69 vs 0.87
Shots: 18 vs 3
SoT: 5 vs 1

Top players for…

xG: G.Martinelli (1.12), J.Maja (0.85), E.Nketiah (0.77)
BCC: G.Martinelli (2), J.Maja (1), E.Smith-Rowe (1), A.Lacazette (1)
Shots: G.Martinelli (4), E.Nketiah (3)
E.Nketiah vs A.Lacazette
Mins: 20 vs 70
Goals: 1 vs 0
xG: 0.77 vs 0.14
Shots: 3 vs 2
SoT: 1 vs 0
CC: 1 vs 1
FPL points: 5 vs 2
Game 5: Manchester United vs Burnley

Goals: 3 vs 1
xG: 2.74 vs 0.86
Shots: 17 vs 10
SoT: 9 vs 3

Top players for…

xG: M.Greenwood (0.89), E.Cavani (0.84), B.Fernandes (0.46)
BCC: M.Rashford (2), M.Greenwood (1), E.Cavani (1)
Shots: M.Greenwood (5), C.Wood (5), B.Fernandes (4)
M.Greenwood vs B.Fernandes vs M.Rashford
Mins: 90 vs 90 vs 84
Goals: 2 vs 0 vs 0
xG: 0.89 vs 0.46 vs 0.12
Assists: 0 vs 0 vs 1
xA: 0.26 vs 0.14 vs 0.32
Shots: 5 vs 4 vs 2
SoT: 3 vs 2 vs 1
CC: 1 vs 0 vs 4
FPL points: 12 vs 2 vs 5
Game 6: Leeds vs Liverpool

Goals: 1 vs 1
xG: 2.31 vs 1.45
Shots: 12 vs 17
SoT: 5 vs 7

Top players for…

xG: P.Bamford (0.90), D.Jota (0.62), J.Harrison (0.54)
BCC: S.Mane, T.Alexander-Arnold, J.Harrison, L.Ayling,
T.Roberts (1)
Shots: P.Bamford (5), D.Jota (5), R.Firmino (3)
D.Jota vs S.Mane vs M.Salah
Mins: 81 vs 71 vs 19
Goals: 0 vs 1 vs 0
xG: 0.62 vs 0.3 vs 0.13
xA: 0.22 vs 0.05 vs 0.0
Shots: 5 vs 1 vs 2
SoT: 2 vs 1 vs 0
CC: 2 vs 1 vs 0
FPL points: 3 vs 8 vs 1
Game 7: Chelsea vs Brighton

Goals: 0 vs 0
xG: 0.71 vs 0.45
Shots: 7 vs 11
SoT: 4 vs 2

Top players for…

xG: K.Havertz (0.37), C.Pulisic (0.18), Y.Bissouma (0.15)
BCC: None
Shots: Y.Bissouma (4), C.Pulisic (3), A.Lallana (2), O.Giroud (2), D.Welbeck (2)
C.Pulisic vs K.Havertz vs M.Mount
Mins: 90 vs 67 vs 90
xG: 0.18 vs 0.37 vs 0.0
Shots: 3 vs 1 vs 0
SoT: 1 vs 1 vs 0
CC: 0 vs 0 vs 1
FPL points: 3 vs 3 vs 3

K.Arrizabalaga vs R.Sanchez
Mins: 90 vs 90
xGC: 0.45 vs 0.71
Saves: 2 vs 4
Diving saves: 1 vs 1
FPL points: 9 vs 9
Game 8: Spurs vs Southampton

Goals: 2 vs 1
xG: 1.44 vs 0.8
Shots: 12 vs 10
SoT: 3 vs 5

Top players for…

xG: H.M.Son (0.85), C.Adams (0.37), L.Moura (0.21)
BCC: H.M.Son, N.Tella (1)
Shots: G.Bale (3), L.Moura (3), H.M.Son (2), D.Ings (2), N.Tella (2), G.Lo Celco (2)
H.M.Son vs G.Bale vs L.Moura
Mins: 90 vs 83 vs 90
Goals: 1 vs 1 vs 0
xG: 0.85 vs 0.13 vs 0.21
Assists: 0 vs 0 vs 1
xA: 0.12 vs 0.11 vs 0.06
Shots: 2 vs 3 vs 3
SoT: 1 vs 2 vs 0
CC: 1 vs 3 vs 1
FPL points: 10 vs 9 vs 5
Game 9: Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Goals: 1 vs 2
xG: 0.72 vs 1.2
Shots: 8 vs 13
SoT: 3 vs 3

Top players for…

xG: P.Foden (0.58), J.McGinn (0.3), R.Mahrez (0.2)
BCC: B.Silva (2), J.McGinn (1), O.Watkins (1), P.Foden (1), Rodri (1)
Shots: R.Mahrez, P.Foden, D.Luiz (3)
P.Foden vs B.Silva
Mins: 90 vs 90
Goals: 1 vs 0
xG: 0.58 vs 0.05
Assists: 0 vs 2
xA: 0.17 vs 0.59
Shots: 3 vs 1
SoT: 1 vs 0
CC: 3 vs 5
FPL points: 9 vs 11
Game 10: Leicester vs West Brom

Goals: 3 vs 0
xG: 2.07 vs 0.55
Shots: 17 vs 4
SoT: 7 vs 1

Top players for…

xG: K.Iheanacho (1.25), J.Vardy (0.47), S.Ajayi (0.37)
BCC: T.Castagne (2), J.Vardy (1), K.Iheanacho (1), J.Evans (1)
Shots: K.Iheanacho (8), J.Vardy (4), J.Maddison (2)
K.Iheanacho vs J.Vardy
Mins: 90 vs 85
Goals: 1 vs 1
xG: 1.25 vs 0.47
Assists: 0 vs 1
Shots: 8 vs 4
SoT: 3 vs 2
CC: 0 vs 3
FPL points: 6 vs 10
➡️Captaincy

In this section I’ll have a look at 2 big hitters and 2 highly owned players (<10m) who I think all could be great captains for the upcoming week.
Big hitter 1: B.Fernandes

Despite his poor recent form and yet another blank in GW32, Bruno will be very heavily captained for his mouthwatering game at Elland Road. This match is expected to be high-scoring and Bruno has been involved in ~42% of Man United's goals this season.
Big hitter 2: M.Salah

Highly owned player 1: K.Iheanacho

Highly owned player 2: D.Jota
➡️ Differentials

In this section I’ll have a look at 3 players who have less than 5% ownership who I think will do well in the upcoming few GWs. 1 def, 1 mid and 1 att.
Differential defender: R.Pereira

Differential midfielder: G.Martinelli

Differential attacker: W.José
➡️ Teams to target/avoid

In this section I’ll have a look at 3 teams who have a favourable 3 next fixtures and 3 who have a tough few.
Team to target 1: Brighton (shu, LEE, wol)

Team to target 2: Wolves (BUR, wba, BHA)

Team to target 3: Leicester (CRY, sou, NEW)
3 teams to avoid:

➡️ Southampton (---, LEI, liv)
➡️ Manchester City (---, cry, CHE)
➡️ Newcastle (liv, ARS, lei)
Thank you so much for reading ‘Frayed ends’! I hope it was useful! Please RT if you enjoyed it
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