📝A GW33 THREAD

🔎 GW32
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaway

🔎 GW33
🎯 Fixtures to Target
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predicted Scoring
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
🍟 Free Hit GW33
🚌 Bus Team

⏳A bite size thread, perfect for the quick turnaround..

#FPL #FPLCommunity #GW33
📸 GW32 Snapshot - Teams

Games: 10
Goals: 25
Clean Sheets: 4

Top xG:
1. MUN (3.25)
2. LEE (2.76)
3. WHU (2.70)

Worst xG:
20. WBA (0.13)
19. BHA (0.49)
18. SHU (0.79)

Most Shots:
1. TOT (24) *
2. EVE, ARS (18)

Most Big Chances:
LEE (6)

* Played 2 games in GW32
📸 GW32 Snapshot - Players

Most Points:
1. Greenwood, Sigurdsson, Evans(15)
2. Kane, Son (12) *
3. B. Silva, Castagne (11)

Top xG:
1. Greenwood (1.15)
2. Bamford (1.08)
3. Son (1.03) *

Top xA:
1. Martinelli (0.95)
2. Castagne (0.91)
3. B. Silva (0.87)

* Played twice in GW32
🍕 GW32 Takeaway

🍔 I was really impressed by Smith-Rowe vs FUL. Fixtures are lovely & he's stupidly cheap

🌭 Siggy with 2 very well taken goals vs TOT. On set pieces, could be a dandy little differential?

🌮 Another very impressive display from Greenwood netting twice vs BUR
🗒️ Welcome to GW33

⏰ Deadline:
Friday 23rd April @ 6.30pm (UK)

⚠️ No game for MCI, TOT, FUL, SOU due to the League Cup final

Current league table, top scorers and top assisters so far this season ⤵️
🎯 Fixture to Target: LEI vs CRY

The Foxes dismantled WBA in GW32 with a really impressive, solid display. Can't help but feel they'll do the same against a CRY team that had just one shot and conceded 23 shots (4 goals) in their last league game against CHE in GW31.
🎯 LEI vs CRY

🔎 CRY offence:
204 goals (15th)
264 shots (20th)
29.66 xG (19th)
35 Big Chances (20th)

Comfortably one of the worst attacking teams in the league. I really fancy a LEI CS

Schmeichel could be an ideal Mendy replacement for those worried of Kepa rotation?
©️ Captaincy - Salah

Rested against LEE in GW32, Mo has been in good form of late with 2 goals in the 2 games prior to the rest vs LEE. NEW have improved in attack of late but continue to ship goals. Salah has a decent record against the Magpies with 4 in the last 6 PL games.
📊 LIV vs NEW

🟥 LIV offence:
473 shots (2nd)
310 shots in box (2nd)
170 shots on target (4th)
53 goals scored (4th)
61.88 xG (3rd)

🔳 NEW defence/conceded:
466 shots (19th)
287 shots in box (18th)
164 shots on target (16th)
53 goals (18th)
52.62 xGC (16th)
©️ Captaincy - Iheanacho

8 goals in the last 6 league games. He's in fantastic form and really doesn't look to be slowing down any time soon. I think he's a fantastic captaincy option for GW33!
©️ Captaincy - Others

Bruno vs LEE: Just 2 returns since GW26. He isn't in form but certainly due a big haul!

Vardy vs CRY: Goal and assist vs WBA, sure he'll be a popular captaincy pick!

TAA vs NEW: Starting to look back to his creative best. He could be a big captain punt!
🔮 @FFH_HQ Predicted Scoring

1.Salah - 7.18
2.TAA - 5.74
3.Mane - 5.66
4.Vardy - 5.54
5.Robertson - 5.39
6.Bruno - 5.11
7.Iheanacho - 4.90
8.Rashford - 4.88

🔎 Anytime Returns:
1.TAA - 69%
2.Salah - 66%
3.Robertson - 66%
4.Ricardo - 63%
5.Jota - 60%

* Subject to change
📉 Differential Central

🥇 T. CASTAGNE
Price: £5.7
TSB: 4.4%
Fixture: CRY (H)

🥈 J. MADDISON
Price: £7.2
TSB: 6.0%
Fixture: CRY (H)

🥉 M. GREENWOOD
Price: £7.1
TSB: 3.3%
Fixture: LEE (A)

⚡ Big Punt (Under 1.0% TSB)

🏅 D. WELBECK
Price: £5.5
TSB: 0.7%
Fixture: SHU (A)
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Mason Greenwood

£7.1 & 2.9% TSB

🔎 Last 3 matches (BHA, TOT, BUR)

198 mins
4 goals
1 assist
32 FPL points
2.22 xG
1.21 xA

He's looking absolutely fantastic both in his finishing and creativity. I really fancy him to continue with his recent run of returns against LEE GW33.
🔎 The Spurs Blank?

In Mason's first game in charge TOT showed fight to come back and win despite being 1-0 down against SOU, an encouraging start. Fixtures are lovely and with SHU (H) in GW34 managers will surely be holding on to Kane & Son through the blank in GW33?
🔎 Reguilon (£5.6)

Could Regi another TOT asset worth holding? Under Jose it almost seemed like he'd lost his attacking spark but these heat maps (5days apart) suggest he might be given the green light to attack the opposition box again under Mason?

* Only played 60mins vs EVE
🔥 Hot Property

Players most bought IN ahead of GW33 so far:

1. Iheanacho (149k)
2. TAA (140k)
3. Salah (123k)
4. Greenwood (111k)
5. Watkins (103k)

With CRY, SOU, NEW next for LEI I expect Nacho's TSB will go through the roof ahead of the GW33 deadline! 💥
🗑️ Top Binned

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW33 so far:

1. Stones (176k)
2. Kane (173k)
3. Cresswell (142k)
4. Son (139k)
5. Gundogan (137k)

Surprised to see so many selling Kane. Yes he blanks in GW33 & carrying an ankle injury, but they'll want him back for SHU in GW34!
💸 Funding Trent?

🔎 TAA GW28-32:
💥 1 goal
💥 2 assists
💥 40 points
💥 12 BPS

We all want him again right? Well here's 5 dirt cheap assets that will help you free up funds to get him..

🔹Veltman (£4.4)
🔹Burn (£4.2)
🔹Diop (£4.3)
🔹Holding (£4.2)
🔹Smith-Rowe (£4.2)
🍟 GW33 Free Hit

For those that still have the FH chip, this could be the GW to roll it out if you find yourself stuck with 5/6 TOT, MCI, SOU & FUL players or injuries..

Alternatively it might be worth holding the chip for what looks like a DGW in GW35?

For those using it..
🔑 FH33 Defence

WOL back to back clean sheets vs FUL & SHU. Play BUR GW33.

BHA 3 clean sheets in the last 6 games. Up against SHU in GW33.

TAA is back in the returns, 3 in the last 3 games. With NEW in GW33 he's surely a MUST have for all free hitters?

🎯 WOL, LEI, BHA, LIV
🔎 GW33 Clean Sheet Probability

LEI - 56%
LIV - 54%
BHA - 48%
WOL - 44%
AVL - 42%
CHE - 42%
MUN - 33%
BUR - 28%
EVE - 25%
SHU - 25%
WBA - 23%
WHU - 22%
LEE - 20%
CRY - 19%
NEW - 13%

* Stats courtesy of @FPL_Salah
🔑 FH33 Attack

Fully expect LEI to coast past CRY who appear to be on the beach. Vardy, Nacho & Maddison particularly appealing

Expect LIV to beat NEW despite an improvement in performance recently

Really like MUN assets vs LEE Greenwood, Cavani, Rash, Bruno

🎯 LEI, LIV, MUN
🍟 My GW33 FH Draft

I'd originally planned to FH this week but seeing as I'm able to field a decent enough team for GW33 I plan to hold out in hope of a big DGW35!🤞🏻

If I was to use the FH chip this GW, this is how my team would probably look.. ⤵️
🚌 GW33 Bus Team

🔄 GW33 Plan A:
Reguilon & Phillips OUT
TAA & Diop IN (-4)

🤯 Headaches:
* Does Mendy start this GW? Do I risk going without a GK?
* Is Jota injured? Rumours escalating that he's torn his ACL

If Jota's out? Plan B 💭
Reguilon & Jota OUT
Greenwood & TAA IN (-4)
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