
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1"> Climate policies built around netzero have become a dangerous trap. This is about the hardest article I have written. Not because it’s technical, but because of the emotions & worry of being misunderstood.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧵" title="Thread" aria-label="Emoji: Thread"> about why we must talk about netzero.
https://theconversation.com/climate-scientists-concept-of-net-zero-is-a-dangerous-trap-157368">https://theconversation.com/climate-s...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 2" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 2"> Before that a TLDR: Netzero offers promise of technological salvation that promotes a burn now pay later approach. This risks disaster while accelerating destruction of biodiversity today.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3"> Still before that: I co-authored this article with Robert Watson (former chair of
@IPCC_CH and
@IPBES) and Wolfgang Knorr
@w_knorr (former group leader
@MPI_BGC). So both vastly experienced. I am not a "senior/leading climate scientist"

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3">b Many thanks to
@josephineleth &
@ConversationUK for commissioning this longread and
@AppleNewsUK for joint publication.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="4⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 4" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 4"> OK, so what is netzero? We&
#39;ve all heard the term now - the point where our GHG emissions are balanced by natural and artificial sinks. We must get to netzero as fast as possible to avoid dangerous climate change. All very sensible stuff.
https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/energy-explained/what-is-net-zero">https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/e...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="5⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 5" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 5"> The problems begin when climate policy scenarios begin to include speculative Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR). This started in early-mid 1990s. Postulating a future with more trees was used to justify burning more coal.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-how-integrated-assessment-models-are-used-to-study-climate-change">https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-how-in...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="6⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 6" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 6"> A few years later, Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) was proposed as enabling climate-friendly coal as the carbon from power stations could be scrubbed out and stored underground. But even though this tech didn&
#39;t exist, it began to be included in climate policy scenarios.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="7⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 7" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 7"> btw CCS for clean coal still does not exist. There has been a single demonstrator facility at Boundary Dam coal station in Canada, but most of the carbon captured is used for Enhanced Oil Recovery (and so further pump out hydrocarbons from the ground).
https://theconversation.com/its-time-to-accept-carbon-capture-has-failed-heres-what-we-should-do-instead-82929">https://theconversation.com/its-time-...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="8⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 8" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 8"> But for years, CCS was touted as the tech that would unlock coal&
#39;s contribution to humanity&
#39;s energy needs. Eventually by the turn of the millenium most acknowledged it would remain a costly pipe dream. So time for another solution.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/mar/02/clean-coal-america-kemper-power-plant">https://www.theguardian.com/environme...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="9⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 9" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 9"> This magic bullet would not only have to slow down the rise in carbon concentrations, but actually reverse them given mitigation was proving so hard to produce. And so we see the emergence of Bio Energy Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS).
https://www.carbonbrief.org/beccs-the-story-of-climate-changes-saviour-technology">https://www.carbonbrief.org/beccs-the...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔟" title="Taste 10" aria-label="Emoji: Taste 10"> Nowdays we don&
#39;t speak too well of BECCS. It will consume vast amounts of land and water. It will devastate biodiversity.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/grantham-institute/public/publications/briefing-papers/BECCS-deployment---a-reality-check.pdf">https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imp...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1"> So BECCS is now used as a placeholder term for any Carbon Dioxide Removal approach. Afforestation, Direct Air Capture, ocean seeding. The specifics don&
#39;t seem to matter. What&
#39;s important is that policy makers can point to a future solution. And that&
#39;s where we come in.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 2" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 2"> Because academia has unwittingly facilitated inaction. Netzero is an example of technological optimism within the classification of discourses of delay: rather than do the hard work of mitigation now, we instead focus attention on future solutions.
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/global-sustainability/article/discourses-of-climate-delay/7B11B722E3E3454BB6212378E32985A7">https://www.cambridge.org/core/jour...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3"> And we do that, even when the proposed solutions are absurd. e.g. Direct Air Capture? Really? That is really going to have any serious role in limiting warming to no more than 1.5°C?

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="4⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 4" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 4"> Please note: DAC itself is not a bad idea - it&
#39;s actually very smart. It&
#39;s proposing to deploy it or any other Carbon Dioxide Removal solution at VAST scale that is stupid and reckless.
https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/8/577/2017/esd-8-577-2017.pdf">https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="5⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 5" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 5"> Similarly, netzero policies are in principle excellent ways to reduce harmful impacts on climate. But by allowing future carbon removals they have been hijacked by a ruthlessly growth-obsessed climate policy process.
https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/09/16/net-zero-story-target-will-shape-future/">https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/09/1...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="6⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 6" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 6"> A climate policy process that at national & international scale has never been able to entertain anything other than incremental market-based approaches. A process that finds it easier to conjure up climate unicorns than challenge assumptions about society.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="7⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 7" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 7"> A climate policy process that has spectacularly failed for decades. Rather than accelerate mitigation, netzero may in the end have provided policy makers with ways out of making so-called difficult decisions now.
https://www.nationalobserver.com/2019/12/12/analysis/global-climate-summit-cop-or-cop-out">https://www.nationalobserver.com/2019/12/1...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="8⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 8" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 8"> The time has come to voice our fears and be honest with wider society. Current netzero policies will not keep warming to within 1.5°C because they were never intended to.

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="9⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 9" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 9"> If we want to keep people safe then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen NOW. That is the very simple acid test that must be applied to all climate policies. The time for wishful thinking is over. END

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🙏" title="Gefaltete Hände" aria-label="Emoji: Gefaltete Hände">
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