Thread by @trevortombe, Today's COVID vaccination update:- Total shots given: 10,798,150- Shots per 100 people: [...]

Today& #39;s COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 10,798,150
- Shots per 100 people: 28.4
- Shots reported today: 316,732
- Inventory: 9.8 days (at avg pace)

Source: https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtracker.html">https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinati...

Canada is now up to 10.8 million shots given -- which is 80.2% of the total 13.5M doses available. Over the past 7 days, 1,997,604 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 958k are fully vaccinated with two shots.

Canada& #39;s pace of vaccination:

Today& #39;s 316,732 shots given compares to an average of 271,326/day over the past week and 272,674/day the week prior.

- Pace req& #39;d for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 285,271
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Oct 2021

But based on just the share of people with 1 or more doses (a weaker threshold), at Canada& #39;s current pace we reach 50% by May, and 75% by July 2021!

At Canada& #39;s latest 7-day avg daily pace, the share of people w/ 1 or more doses rises by 0.67% per day. The US rises by 0.45% per day.

- Projected out, we reach 75% 3 days before the US.
- We match the US share in 68 days.
- Reaching the current US share takes 22 days.

Turning to individual provinces, here& #39;s doses administered over time and the latest share of deliveries used. SK leading with 91.8% of delivered doses administered while NU has administered 62.6%.

Note: Shares >100% are due to squeezing & #39;extra& #39; doses from vaccine vials.

Vaccination pace varies widely. Here& #39;s time to reach 75% of adults w/ 1+ doses based on the latest 7-day average daily pace.

- SK fastest at 44 days.
- PE slowest at 63 days.

Every province is on pace for the June goal!

And here& #39;s where things stand today:

- Highest overall: YT at 60% receiving at least one shot
- Most 1st doses only: QC at 28% receiving that shot
- Most Fully Vaccinated: YT at 50%
- Fewest Vaccinated: NS at 20%

How does Canada compare to others? Currently, Canada ranks 6th out of 37 OECD countries in terms of the share of the population that is at least partially vaccinated. In terms of total doses per 100, Canada is 8th.

Source: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations">https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vac...

Canada/US comparison:

- Highest Prov: QC, 28.8% of pop w/ at least one dose
- Lowest Prov: NS, 20.2
- Highest State: NH, 53.0
- Lowest State: AL, 28.0

- Top CDN Terr: YT, 60.2
- Top US Terr: PW, 50.1

Sources: #vaccinations">https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/ #vaccinations">https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-dat... and https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtracker.html">https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinati...

Finally, here& #39;s a selection across several metrics/groups of how Canada ranks globally. Pick your prefered measure!

Important Note: the above graphs are easy and automated. Gathering the data is hard, and is thanks to Noah Little and other volunteers at @covid_canada ( https://covid19tracker.ca/index.html ).">https://covid19tracker.ca/index.htm...

If you like these updates, consider supporting their work at https://ko-fi.com/covid19trackerca">https://ko-fi.com/covid19tr...

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P.S. This slowing in the US is intriguing (and concerning). So a couple quick follow ups below: https://twitter.com/trevortombe/status/1385032763032567809">https://twitter.com/trevortom...

https://twitter.com/trevortombe/status/1385032763032567809

First, is it real or did Trevor screw up the calculation? It& #39;s real, pace appears to be slowing recently https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/covid-19-vaccine-doses.html">https://www.nytimes.com/interacti... and the NYT projection for reaching 75% is the same as above.

First, is it real or did Trevor screw up the calculation? It& #39;s real, pace appears to be slowing recently https://www.nytimes.com/interacti... and the NYT projection for reaching 75% is the same as above.

So what& #39;s going on? I& #39;m not sure, but others have recently noted that vaccine hesitancy is going to bite very very soon. Here& #39;s excellent analysis on that: https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/supply-vs-demand-when-will-the-scales-tip-on-covid-19-vaccination-in-the-u-s/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsletter_axiosvitals&stream=top">https://www.kff.org/policy-wa...

Supply vs Demand: When Will the Scales Tip on COVID-19 Vaccination in the U.S?

With supply having increased significantly and eligibility fully open to adults in all states as of April 19, this analysis estimates that COVID-19 vaccine supply will exceed demand across the U.S.…

https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/supply-vs-demand-when-will-the-scales-tip-on-covid-19-vaccination-in-the-u-s/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsletter_axiosvitals&stream=top

Canada has a lower number responding that they won& #39;t get the vaccine. Here& #39;s the latest from @OurWorldInData at #attitudes-to-covid-19-vaccinations">https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations #attitudes-to-covid-19-vaccinations">https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vac...

Canada has a lower number responding that they won& #39;t get the vaccine. Here& #39;s the latest from @OurWorldInData at https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vac...

So while Canada got off to a slower start. We& #39;re now moving at a pace that exceeds the US and might, possibly, overtake them in June. Very interesting development. I hope things speed up in the US, of course, and and also keep speeding up here.

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