Ok here& #39;s my calculation of delivered to administered doses to Week 15 (ie to Friday, April 16)
PB: Delivered 1,009,710; Administered 892,535
AZ: Delivered 355,200; Administered 243,846
M: Delivered 109,200; Administered 51,973
PB: Delivered 1,009,710; Administered 892,535
AZ: Delivered 355,200; Administered 243,846
M: Delivered 109,200; Administered 51,973
JJ: Delivered 14,400; Administered 0
Which means *stock on hand* going into Saturday April 17 of:
PB: 117,175
AZ: 111,354
M: 57,227
JJ: 14,400
Which means *stock on hand* going into Saturday April 17 of:
PB: 117,175
AZ: 111,354
M: 57,227
JJ: 14,400
In the data we have available Sat -> Mon we can subtract and say current stock is:
PB: 90,021
AZ: 108,692
M: 55,910
JJ: 14,400
I assume the 108k on hand AZ are for giving to 65-69 year olds this week. Moderna has a 50% buffer.
PB: 90,021
AZ: 108,692
M: 55,910
JJ: 14,400
I assume the 108k on hand AZ are for giving to 65-69 year olds this week. Moderna has a 50% buffer.
Further deliveries this week will change these numbers.
The 90k PB on hand will likely *all* go into arms this week. And we can assume a delivery of another 140k PB this week.
And why is it left up to me, a person on Twitter to explain this? Just publish the numbers in real time! They& #39;re the most important numbers in the country right now.
Here& #39;s what we can say now based on this data:
~91% of PB doses delivered have been put into arms up to Monday.
~70% of AZ doses delivered have been put into arms up to Monday.
A whole load of 65-69 year olds are scheduled to receive AZ this week.
~91% of PB doses delivered have been put into arms up to Monday.
~70% of AZ doses delivered have been put into arms up to Monday.
A whole load of 65-69 year olds are scheduled to receive AZ this week.
But again: it& #39;s pretty easy for the Gov to just publish the delivery numbers in realtime. It& #39;s numbers on a spreadsheet, or in a tweet.
And is there a load of vaccines sitting in fridges not being used? Not really, no.