Looking at today's COVID numbers, the US 7-day average for daily deaths was 729 yesterday.

The low 7-day average between the 2nd & 3rd COVID surge was 697, according to Google. We hit that on 10/6/20 & 10/16/20.

It's *possible* we could break below that level soon, even today.

The significance of breaking below the low 7-day average of daily deaths from between the 2nd & 3rd US COVID surge is that we would, for the first time since the pandemic began, actually be on a downward trend, from a peak-trough analysis perspective.

Positive news.

As far as I can tell -- and again, this is just from eyeballing Google's numbers -- the low point for the 7-day average of daily COVID deaths between the 1st and 2nd US surge was 547, which we hit on July 7, 2020.

If we can sustain a sub-700 average, sub-550 may not be far off.

Again, the significance of hitting these numbers is that, in the US, we've never had a point, between the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd COVID surges, where the daily death 7-day average ever broke below previous resistance levels.

But that looks like it *could* happen now.

Good trend news.

Of course, 700 deaths per day from COVID -- which people *can* prevent by taking precautions -- is unacceptable. So is 550 deaths per day.

And there are a lot of fundamental variables that, even if we broke below technical trends, could still put us right back in a bad place.

Nevertheless, it's nice to see us getting so close to breaking that resistance level.

I've been looking forward to being able to talk about it for weeks now, if you can believe that.

Thank you to everybody who has been part of the vaccination effort.