UPDATE **4/19 2021**

(1/6)

-I am a huge bull for $VIAC & $ROKU.

-The market understands the $ROKU thesis while for $VIAC they do not.

-In this chart below, I compare $ROKU's TOTAL revenue to STRICTLY $VIAC's DOMESTIC streaming revenue (just 10% of the company revenue) https://twitter.com/AlanSoclof/status/1347363950925635586
(2/6)

-P+, ShowtimeOTT, Noggin & PlutoTV has $VIAC Domestic streaming doing more rev than all of $ROKU

- Yet, $ROKU has nearly a $20 Bill greater market cap than $VIAC

- if $VIAC domestic streaming was its own entity, what would its valuation be?
(3/6)

-I understand there are major differences between $ROKU and $VIAC (i.e.- $ROKU as THE platform) but there are also many similarities that include FAST (AVOD), possibly content creation (as $ROKU has hinted), and overall serious players in streaming industry.
(4/6)

-1Q21 is where things can get really interesting. $ROKU shared that they are expecting $478-$493 mill in Q1 revenue- A drop from Q4 of $678 due to seasonality of ad spend

- $VIAC on the other hand will likely see domestic streaming rev growth due to the base of paid subs
(5/6)

- I anticipate $VIAC domestic streaming to over (maybe well over) $1 Bill for the quarter (feel free to dm me for how I got this)

- If $ROKU does $500 mill in Q1 Rev while $VIAC does over $1 Bill in rev in Q1 look what happens to my chart

⬇️⬇️⬇️
(6/6)
- $VIAC pulls away. With strength.

- 1 part of $VIAC is growing faster than all of $ROKU but $ROKU is worth $20 Bill more.

- $ROKU's valuation might make sense. It is the other company's that doesn't.

-I will update this when the official numbers come out!

Alan
You can follow @AlanSoclof.
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