Read on Twitter
I'm looking through my old tweets and predictions on Covid and Coronavirus, and, I gotta say, I did a pretty accurate job of predicting its course and the response lol
Some things I erred on were the rebound effect of violence after lockdown was lifted (though I predicted some of the other rebound effects in other domains)--because I attributed it not just to the total lockdown, but social distancing in general.
As for course of the disease, its ecological origin, the timing and rollout of vaccinations, its rate of spread in the general population, the self fulfilling prophecies related to it, its becoming endemic, etc I did okay.
I even predicted which country was going to either invent the vaccine and/or be the first to be fully vaccinated--albeit this prediction I only made in the DMs or irl, and didn't say on the TL for obvious reasons.
I think the fact that I am a pessimist by outlook means that I'm prone to making dire, but not apocalyptic predictions, for everything but climate change and nuclear war (because those are the only two real genuinely anthropogenic ELEs)
The above two are entire threads of analyses that contained specific predictions or conjectures about covid, this thread here is shorter and a ill just screenshot the key part https://twitter.com/yungneocon/status/1297294965891047425?s=20
By contrast here's a thread where I made an incorrect prediction--one different from the analyses that I both before and after it, as I had for a few months succumbed to twitter disease
https://twitter.com/yungneocon/status/1264960944318357504?s=20
https://twitter.com/yungneocon/status/1264960944318357504?s=20
