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Let me consolidate and share my views on #TNElections2021 (on my few friends request.. though it is a delayed response from my side)
1. DMK comes to power. No doubt. Question here is whether it is 170+ or 200+. This #Thread discuss on the options and possibilities here (1/9)
1. DMK comes to power. No doubt. Question here is whether it is 170+ or 200+. This #Thread discuss on the options and possibilities here (1/9)
2. There exists huge anti-incumbency against ADMK. People fed up with ADMK's inefficiency and it is visible everywhere. Even many ADMK supporters didn't voted for ADMK
3. Alliance with BJP hits hard ADMK this time. Without BJP they could won some 40 seats. Now doubt (2/9)
3. Alliance with BJP hits hard ADMK this time. Without BJP they could won some 40 seats. Now doubt (2/9)
4. DMK's Vidiyalai Nokki Koottam shows the people support to DMK whereas ADMK has only cadres support on their campaigns
5. ADMK doesn't have a star campaigner except EPS an one man show. Many ADMK leaders retrained themselves from campaigning shows they guessed the result (3/9)
5. ADMK doesn't have a star campaigner except EPS an one man show. Many ADMK leaders retrained themselves from campaigning shows they guessed the result (3/9)
6. Coming to the probabilities.. ADMK may get around 30-35 seats majority of them could be from Kongu.
7. South TN this time favours heavily to DMK, thanks to ADMK & BJP Govts atrocities
8. Women voting is good this time, and that favours DMK a lot (4/9)
7. South TN this time favours heavily to DMK, thanks to ADMK & BJP Govts atrocities
8. Women voting is good this time, and that favours DMK a lot (4/9)
9. BJP may lose all seats.. can secure deposits in 3-4 seats
10. AMMK didn't done much impact. I dont think they will win any
11. MNM has a good support from non-party voters. But winning any seat is doubtful
12. NTK has no impact, even though they campaigned well (5/9)
10. AMMK didn't done much impact. I dont think they will win any
11. MNM has a good support from non-party voters. But winning any seat is doubtful
12. NTK has no impact, even though they campaigned well (5/9)
13. Consolidating Cong, CPM, CPI, VCK vote banks with DMK adding the anger on ADMK & BJP, this election gives a huge mandate to DMK alliance
14. Aversion over BJP & PMK is a liability for ADMK this election
15. I guess only few ministers can win, may be 8-10 seats (6/9)
14. Aversion over BJP & PMK is a liability for ADMK this election
15. I guess only few ministers can win, may be 8-10 seats (6/9)
16. DMKs campaigning were huge hit whereas ADMK lacks good campaigning
17. Money may not play deciding factor as almost everyone has distributed
18. I dont think EVM plays any role. Polled is polled and it is safe now. Manipulation in any manner is impossible I feel. (7/9)
17. Money may not play deciding factor as almost everyone has distributed
18. I dont think EVM plays any role. Polled is polled and it is safe now. Manipulation in any manner is impossible I feel. (7/9)
19. Small businesses, entrepreneurs, farmers, students, middle class people were totally against BJP's policy which hurts their life line, so it is advantage DMK
20. Women's support DMK for two reasons. Price rises & JJ death mystery. Many neutralists also on same line. (8/9)
20. Women's support DMK for two reasons. Price rises & JJ death mystery. Many neutralists also on same line. (8/9)
21. Stalin made his image strong in this election and people attracted to his promises.
22. Communal, Caste based voting may not make much impact whereas the fear on religious hatredness (thanks to BJP leaders) impacts much
23. Final tally could be like 180+/40+
(9/9)
22. Communal, Caste based voting may not make much impact whereas the fear on religious hatredness (thanks to BJP leaders) impacts much
23. Final tally could be like 180+/40+
(9/9)