Last week the US Intelligence Community published its latest global trends assessment, a report that it publishes every ten years that incorporates a variety of scenarios on how it sees geopolitical competition evolving. To sum it shortly, they have no faith in Africa. /1

2/ As expected, they split Africa into "North Africa/Sub Sahara". I will focus on what they say about Sub Saharan African developments. Economically they predict stagnation. If the GDP Per cap only rises from 3.6 to 4.7k we are effectively still so poor that NOTHING HAS CHANGED.

3/ Now to show how insulting their economic projections for Sub Saharan Africa is, let's take a trip around the world. They see the Middle East and North Africa going from 15k to 19k GDP per capita wise.

6/ In terms of South Asia, they see rampant growth from 5k to 15k.

7/ In terms of Northeast Asia, they see growth from 19k to 36k.

8/ In terms of Southeast Asia, they see growth from 11.8k to 24k.

9/ In terms of Latin America and the Carribbean, they project growth from 13k to 18k.

10/ These reports cultivated by the US Intelligence Community are at times used as the base research for other reports eventually conducted by major multinationals + consulting firms, which can form major investment decisions, so the take here on Africa's assessment in 2040(cont)

11/ is both brutal and sober. We are entering a landscape where major Western decisionmakers truly do believe Africa is doomed to remain even in 2040 a continent that is barely growing and almost hilariously Live Aid standards poor.

12/ It should be a sober read for all African governments and policymakers, and is yet another major alert towards young Africans, especially those business inclined. Trust me when I say you won't want to live on a 2 billion+ person continent with these statistics.

13/ Never mind the jump from 3 to 6, those were two other tweets that I'll tweet later in the week.