Quick note on the name:
Greinacher earlier suggested the name "vaccine-induced prothrombotic immune thrombocytopenia” or VIPIT for the rare disorder.
But the two papers now both call it VITT: "vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia"
So what’s the mechanism behind VITT and is it likely to be caused by other vaccines than the AstraZeneca one as well?
Let’s go through what scientists are thinking:
One early thought was that this might be a rare reaction in people who had already had #covid19 before being vaccinated. But that’s been largely dismissed. All 5 Norwegian cases for instance appear not to have had a prior #SARSCoV2 infection.
Another hypothesis: That the antibodies against spike that the vaccine induces cross-react with PF4. That would have been particularly worrying because in that case the effect we want from the vaccine (the anti-spike antibodies) would also be the problem.
That suggests that producing antibodies against spike does not automatically run the risk of producing anti-PF4 antibodies as well.
That’s why Greinacher said on Friday, that the finding was “fantastic news for the vaccination program.”
So what mechanism does Greinacher think IS at play?
Well, HIT is caused when PF4, which is small and positively charged, binds to heparin, a large, negatively charged molecule. That then makes PF4 “more visible” to our immune system.
Greinacher thinks something similar could be happening with free DNA (also a negatively charged molecule) in the vaccine. There are about 50 billion viral particles in a dose of the vaccine and some of them may break apart spilling DNA, he suggests.
Another possibility:
PF4 antibodies are already present in vaccinees.
We all harbor some auto-antibodies that could create problems, but they are usually kept in check through an immune mechanism called “peripheral tolerance”. Could the vaccination trigger a breakdown of that?
As Gowthami Arepally told me: “When you get vaccinated, sometimes the mechanisms of peripheral tolerance get disrupted. When that happens, does that unleash any autoimmune syndromes that you are predisposed to, like HIT?”
We know the AZ vaccine produces a lot of inflammation. So one hypothesis is that this strong inflammatory response breaks down peripheral tolerance in some people with PF4 antibodies leading to VITT.
Again: This is another hypothesis that scientists are testing.
There are other hypotheses, too, of course. Pinpointing the mechanism at work here is important to figure out what can be done to reduce the risk and what other vaccines may carry the same risk.
If inflammation is crucial, an easy fix may be to halve the dose of the vaccine, Greinacher told us.
People that accidentally got a half-dose of the vaccine did experience fewer side effects. “Part of the problem might be that they just overdose” the vaccine, says Greinacher.
Of course, we don’t know any of this for sure.
As @Cox_A_R told me, having fewer common side effects does not necessarily mean rare side effects are fewer too: “We can’t automatically assume effects on more common side effects map to these extremely rare reactions."
One piece of the puzzle that will become clearer soon is whether we will see the same side effect in other vaccines, particularly the other adenovirus vector ones, like those from J&J and CanSino and Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine.
That will give us important information too.
Already, EMA is investigating four cases of similar clotting seen in U.S. patients who received the J&J vaccine.
We should not jump to conclusions, this may be a coincidence, but as Greinacher says: “It’s at least very suspicious.”
I’ll write a separate thread about the risk-benefit calculations here later today or tomorrow.
For now just a very general reminder that these clotting disorders are extremely rare events and in most places for most people the benefits far outweigh the risks.
You can follow @kakape.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: