Michigan hitting new peaks.

Just as a political question, Whitmer closed down for FAR LESS last year. Not sure what her science advisers are telling her now.
"Whitmer was asked why restrictions are being recommended, not mandated.
“We know now that we’ve got the tools we need to protect ourselves, and it is less of a policy problem that we have and more of a compliance and variants issue that we are confronting as a state."
The problem with this is, it goes against EVERYTHING Whitmer has argued for the past year.

If behavioral changes are key now...weren't they six months ago?
The most recent surge is multifactorial in cause:
1. More public activity in general.
2. More variants.
3. Michigan's poor job in vaccinating, especially among minorities; Detroit is at only 20% vaccinated, for example. https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/
Democrats will try to blame GOP for this (and the MI GOP is absolute trash, so I don't defend them one bit) but MI vaccine program has really been garbage. They are below average on all metrics nationwide.

And Detroit...
The elderly are not driving this. It is young adults, followed by middle aged people...then children.
As for schools, the numbers don't look horrible...and I have yet to see evidence of transmission in schools to the community; I would guess it is actually the reverse.

https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/0,9753,7-406-98163_98173_102480---,00.html
Again, a CDC study in WI during their peak in the Fall showed the transmissions were coming from the community to the schools...not the other way around.

I would presume the same is true of MI.
One last point: I don't blame Whitmer for this. I said a year ago, we are putting too much blame on executives.

But if the standard is "Trump killed 400k!" then...Whitmer has done pretty damn awful.
Good thread here from @CitizenCohn.

I still have issues... https://twitter.com/CitizenCohn/status/1381261745185026052?s=19
My biggest complaint is the claim that MI did so well, that they had less community immunity protection than other states.

If that was the case, why weren't states like Ohio, who actually did better than Michigan last year, now more susceptible?
Overall, I think surges for the past year have been largely random. They certainly don't appear to really be related to public policy like closeouts and mask mandates, so much as seasonal changes, random exposure to certain viral variants, and other varied minor criteria.
I mean... Tell me which of is MI, and which is Ohio.
Michigan is 20th highest death rate...

Ohio is 27th.

And right now the surge isn't really here in Ohio.

So there must be another factor.
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