1/6
This trajectory is worrisome.
Brief
from my perspective as to why: https://twitter.com/jkwan_md/status/1380522746652848135
This trajectory is worrisome.
Brief

2/6
presence of VOC
B.1.1.7 lineage being increasingly detected. This variant has been linked to higher transmissibility.
Cases of P.1. & B.135 also being detected.
Info on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 Lineage ... https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7003e2.htm via @CDCgov



Info on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 Lineage ... https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7003e2.htm via @CDCgov
3/6
6.3% +ve rate with total number of new cases/day almost as high as peak of second wave with possibility that peak of this wave will surpass last.
Currently circulating variants could bring more severe illness in younger populations. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-covid-third-wave-younger-patients-1.5955838


4/6
Less than 20% of Ontario's total population has received a #COVID19Vaccine
https://www.publichealthontario.ca/-/media/documents/ncov/epi/covid-19-vaccine-uptake-ontario-epi-summary.pdf?la=en

https://www.publichealthontario.ca/-/media/documents/ncov/epi/covid-19-vaccine-uptake-ontario-epi-summary.pdf?la=en
5/6
Order issued to increase hospital capacity
Question is who will staff these beds? Where will personnel power come from?
Ontario issues emergency orders to bolster hospital capacity as cases soar https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-issues-emergency-orders-to-bolster-hospital-capacity-as-cases-soar-1.5381845 via @CTVToronto


Ontario issues emergency orders to bolster hospital capacity as cases soar https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-issues-emergency-orders-to-bolster-hospital-capacity-as-cases-soar-1.5381845 via @CTVToronto
6/6
With spread of #COVID19 there is often a time after maximal +ve cases that the curve will still rise due to transmission & lag of sx/testing. Will Easter be the peak? Does that mean we have weeks left
cases? This emergency order, will it align with best possible care?
With spread of #COVID19 there is often a time after maximal +ve cases that the curve will still rise due to transmission & lag of sx/testing. Will Easter be the peak? Does that mean we have weeks left

7/n
Just adding a bit more of my thoughts to this thread:
Today @jkwan_md's thread showed:
10.3% positivity rate & about 30% of those hospitalized are in ICU.
We've now seen mortality in younger age groups & increased prevalence of VOC. https://twitter.com/jkwan_md/status/1381974714629947398?s=20
Just adding a bit more of my thoughts to this thread:
Today @jkwan_md's thread showed:

