Let's break down the Holo Icon pack

When: Sometime in next 2 weeks

Price: ~$999 (or more)

Moments: 1 Legendary 99 LE, 3 MGLE, 6 commons

Profit: Barring a massive dip, I expect this pack to be profitable with at least 50%+ margins

Read on for detailed breakdown

The Legendary moments likely worth at least the price of the pack

Cheapest S2 Holo moments at ~$1.7K

Even with new pack drops, I don't expect Holo moments dropping below $1K (but if markets gonna market )

Least valuable ones: Josh Jackson, Terrence Ross, Darius Bazley

You have a ~10% chance of hitting the jackpot with Ja Morant, Ant Edwards, or Lebron

My crappy predictions:

Ja Morant (~3%) ---> ~$9K+
Anthony Edwards (~3%) ---> $12K+
Lebron James (~3%) ---> $50K+

Next tier of very profitable players:

Crappy predictions:

Tatum: ~$4-5K+
Mitchell: ~$4-5K+
Kyrie: ~$7K+
Dame: ~$8K+

The rest of the legendary momies are STILL profitable

Prediction: $2-4K+ for each of them, including:

CP3
Jamal Murray
Bam Adebayo

So with just the legendary moment, you're (1) breaking even with your pack, (2) making $2-3K profit, or (3) hitting jackpot ($5K+)

This is still not even including your 3 MGLE momes

Note: even though rare mint sizes have changed, TS expects to keep MGLE at 499 LE

Plenty of profit there, but that's a thread for another day https://blog.nbatopshot.com/posts/edition-sizes-series-2

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