ICYMI: Here& #39;s a great thread on what happened during this evening& #39;s debate on #PropositionB.

Here are a few thoughts, off the top of my head. https://twitter.com/ksatnews/status/1380308743242534912">https://twitter.com/ksatnews/...
Confused about the numbers on arbitrations? Me, too.

That& #39;s why I went back to read this @bchasnoff story from last year about how many officers are returned to the force through arbitration.

Essentially, it depends on how you crunch the numbers. https://bit.ly/2OygrqB ">https://bit.ly/2OygrqB&q...
For example, if you look only at cases in which a decision has been made - either through reinstatement or arbitration proceedings - that amounts to 30 out of 43 officers being returned to the force.

Or, about 70 percent, as @fixsapd claims.
However, if you look at all outcomes and you don& #39;t include the number of officers reinstated by McManus, that amounts to 10 out of 57 officers being returned through arbitration.

Or, around 18 percent, as the @SAPoliceAssn claims.
I would argue that the most fair way to calculate the numbers would be somewhere in the middle - by dividing the number of officers returned by an arbitrator OR Chief McManus, out of all outcomes.

That amounts to 30 out of 57 officers, or 53 percent.
Another point: @SAPoliceAssn& #39;s claim that crime will rise in #SATX, as it has in Austin, if Proposition B passes is hard to back up.

Homicides are spiking in San Antonio, too, as I reported here. It was actually the second deadliest year in 25 years. https://bit.ly/3rULZWF ">https://bit.ly/3rULZWF&q...
. @Chief_McManus has said it& #39;s hard to pinpoint why homicides fluctuate.

And criminology experts say it’s normal for crime to fluctuate, sometimes for no rhyme or reason.
Anyhow, I& #39;m going to go make some dinner and hopefully stop crunching numbers in my head.

Hope this thread is helpful!
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