Vaccine Passport - Deep Dive

There’s a lot of talk about the morality of C-19 vaccine passports

I want to focus on the issue of whether they make sense from a public health perspective

Not only don’t they make sense, they’re actually counterproductive

Here’s why

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First, let’s establish some facts

1) C-19 is here to stay...we’ll never eradicate it

2) Everybody will eventually be infected

3) Viral respiratory infections are usually asymptomatic

4) Vaccines protect against disease, not infection

5) Common CVs still kill the elderly

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Most people don’t realize that the deadly 1918 Spanish Flu (H1N1) and its variants are is still with us today

No effective H1N1 vaccine have ever been developed so why doesn’t it kill loads of people?

While it still kills some people, we’ve collectively become immune to it

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This has happened with every single pandemic

Because it is new, it kills off the susceptible in 2-3 waves and then fades into the background of the hundreds of respiratory viruses that commonly circulate

These viruses still sometimes kill but it is elderly/sick people

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So the question health experts should be asking is how do we get to the point where C19 becomes a common respiratory virus?

Before I answer this I want to explain what the vaccine does

It greatly decreases the chances that an infection will proceed to symptomatic disease

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And it almost eliminates chance that exposure will lead to severe disease or death

On the other hand, immunity to coronaviruses tends to decrease in time

Also, being vaccinated does not offer more efficient immunity than being infected with the actual SARS-CoV-2 virus

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So ideally you want to ensure that you have some pre-existing immunity to C19 and then let it circulate freely

Why? Reinfection serves as a booster shot

Vaccines ensure that high risk individuals have sufficient pre-existing immunity that they won’t die if exposed

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But the clock is ticking

Immunity starts decreasing as time passes

If the idea is to achieve a level of balance with the virus then having it circulate is how you ensure that immunity doesn’t decrease below a threshold where the virus is deadly

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If I have just completed my vaccine schedule for C19, I want to go out into a world where C19 circulates!

Why? Re-exposure, will allow my immune system to see the entire virus and all its epitopes, and will keep me up to date with new variants

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Paradoxically, vaccinated people should not want restrictions

They should want life back to normal because re-exposure is actually beneficial

But the longer it takes to be re-exposed, the weaker your immune response

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For a vaccinated person, freely circulating C19 is not a bad thing

Now, if you choose not to get the vaccine then you believe your pre-existing immunity is a better bet than the risks of the vaccine

I got vaccinated because I think the vax gives you better odds

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People who don’t get vaccinated know full well that they will eventually have to deal with an infection by SARS-CoV-2

It is not vaccinated people who are at risk from non-vaccinated people, but rather the other way around

If we segregate for 2 years then it will flip!

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The unvaccinated will probably have already been exposed while the segregated vaccinated people’s immunity has waned and are now more susceptible because of a lack of circulating virus in their ranks

I hope this is not too confusing

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The ideal solution is to get to a point where everybody who wants a vaccine has gotten one

Then reopen completely and let the virus circulate normally

That’s how C19 becomes just another respiratory virus

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This will lead to deaths in unvaccinated people, but this is their choice to make

And they have enough information to make decisions based on their level of risk

You can’t force vax because it doesn’t endanger vaccinated people!

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Now I’m going to explain why you can’t force people to take a vaccine for a respiratory virus

Respiratory viruses do not go away

Our common defense against respiratory viruses is to let them circulate freely so that our immune systems are constantly adapting to new variants

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You can’t compare respiratory viruses to other diseases where mass vaccination (polio) or segregation (leprosy) actually makes sense

I see a lot of intelligent people making dumb statements on this subject

Its a respiratory virus FFS!

It’s not aerosolsized ebola!

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There is a natural balace between humans and respiratory viruses

The pandemic stage sucks, as susceptible people people die

But then the virus starts to circulate freely and our immune systems do the rest

Yes, a vaccine helps but not in terms of eradicating the resp virus

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If we ever want to get back to normal, then once everbody who wants it has been vaccinated, we need to return to normal

Current policy on passports makes no sense

Segregating vax’d people from non-vax’d is detrimental to vax’d people’s immune health against C19/variants

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