adventures in presuming your conclusion: FT edition 11.0.

this graph is a disgrace. it presumes a 2 factor world of "protect economy" and "protect lives."

it ignores the overwhelming evidence that lockdowns do not work.

the whole concept is a false trade off and always was. https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1331888872008114176
this has been painfully obvious since day one.

in fact, every major set of pre 2020 pandemic guidelines told you this:

lockdowns do not work and the costs are insanely high.

they literally said "do not even consider this." https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1280990976694083585?s=20
and all the data so far from this year validates this claim.

lockdown intensity correlates to no reduction in deaths, cases, or hospitalization.

internet felines had shown this by april and may. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1266747365609750528?s=20
and it is still painfully obvious today when you compare like to like.

your NPI choices have zero effect on your covid curve.

croatia (doing nothing) looks just like the neighbors. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1329061542571216900?s=20
even the mainstream media and academics have now caught back up to where they all were a year ago.

lockdowns do not work.

plotting them against economic damage like it's some sort of cost benefit analysis is fraud.

it's reasoning by logical fallacy. https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-failed-experiment-of-covid-lockdowns-11599000890
it ignores the factors that seem to have mattered.

the pac rim did not outperform because they're better and lockdowns and masks. they had biome specific pre-existing resistance.

japan has seroprev in the mid 40's and 15 deaths/mm.

that's not masks. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1330139178999406595?s=20
it ignores the weirdly mild flu season last year in some parts of the world that left large vulnerable cohorts.

this was highly predictive of "covid deaths" https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1310960320727351296?s=20
it also ignores the massive elephant in the room: that this data sucks and covid counting for cases and deaths is non uniform and frankly, ridiculous in many places.

if sweden counted like germany and use the german 35 Ct test, deaths would probably drop by ~70%.
their all cause deaths do not look unusual. in fact, they're stunningly normal and look just like the neighbors.

it's the counting method that varies. https://twitter.com/HaraldofW/status/1318260177955684352?s=20
so either covid cures heart disease, or this has been an epidemic of misclassification.

don't even get me started on PCR testing.

well, OK, maybe a little started.

it's become an absurdity. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1330277330128936960?s=20
it would in now way shock me to learn that 70-90% of current positives are either false or non-clinical trace virus.

testing is not the solution, it's the problem and it has tainted every other statistic.

hospitals are not full. all cause deaths are not unusually high.
folks like the FT are just torturing data in a way that really ought to be covered by the geneva convention.

it's an obscenity of fallacious inference designed to erect a false trade off to justify the greatest global policy mistake in living memory.

stop listening.
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