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We& #39;re dealing with layers of denial here, and it& #39;s worth looking at the full picture. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/11/stripe-climate-carbon-removal/617201/">https://www.theatlantic.com/science/a...
Why write this, @yayitsrob? https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/11/stripe-climate-carbon-removal/617201/">https://www.theatlantic.com/science/a...
Two things that do not seem likely to fit into the future, at least at a scale that fits the 2C target: carbon capture and flying. To hear more about that, interview people who may know better. It& #39;s not like the people to talk to are hiding. https://twitter.com/UKFIRES/status/1202853809367764992">https://twitter.com/UKFIRES/s...
Failure to speak to experts across domains cripples journalism, @yayitsrob.
This is a critical time; and propagating fantasies would not be a productive use. https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1330938264258301954?s=20">https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser...
This is a critical time; and propagating fantasies would not be a productive use. https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1330938264258301954?s=20">https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser...
Out of all things to pick as a & #39;hill to die on,& #39; as our coastlines burn or disappear beneath the sea, why aviation? It& #39;s used frequently only by a tiny group, some of whom (a founder of @Stripe & a benefactor of @TheAtlantic) want it to be even faster. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-06/boom-technology-wants-to-build-supersonic-jet-that-cuts-flight-times-in-half?sref=yvbDthFP">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...
As far as the credibility of carbon capture, the puzzle to look at is, how is it not double-counting? We& #39;re going to need to capture more than we know how to do already, so each project now is already on our & #39;imaginary books& #39; for future capture.
In other words, we& #39;ve already *spent* our capture budget, and just to catch up to it is [barely/not at all] plausible. We now need to find ways to be *less* reliant on capture, not *more* reliant on capture. The only pathway we have tech for now is P1. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/SPM3b.png">https://www.ipcc.ch/site/asse...
![In other words, we& #39;ve already *spent* our capture budget, and just to catch up to it is [barely/not at all] plausible. We now need to find ways to be *less* reliant on capture, not *more* reliant on capture. The only pathway we have tech for now is P1. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/asse...](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Enr0ifUWMAMmbQX.jpg "In other words, we& #39;ve already *spent* our capture budget, and just to catch up to it is [barely/not at all] plausible. We now need to find ways to be *less* reliant on capture, not *more* reliant on capture. The only pathway we have tech for now is P1. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/asse...")
It& #39;s easier to write & #39;carbon capture& #39; than it is to build an industry at relevant scale. https://thebulletin.org/2016/10/wed-have-to-finish-one-new-facility-every-working-day-for-the-next-70-years-why-carbon-capture-is-no-panacea/">https://thebulletin.org/2016/10/w...
BECCS, the method presented in the IPCC 1.5C report, and shown as the yellow area in the pathways above, is equally implausible. https://www.nature.com/news/emissions-reduction-scrutinize-co2-removal-methods-1.19318">https://www.nature.com/news/emis...
We& #39;re writing ourselves into fictions and we should stop doing that, @yayitsrob.
Ironically, it was interviewing Klaus Lackner that got me to stop flying. I know the emotional experience of a personal interview (w/high school students in the room, no less) is not a scalable education method, but that& #39;s why we need journalism to work. https://youtu.be/_4KnK9hdnxw ">https://youtu.be/_4KnK9hdn...
I would admit that maybe the idea of wealthy, well-educated people stepping back from their interests is maybe equally implausible, especially as we watch some of them try to make a supersonic plane (while even wealthier ones launch private space programs).
Then I think we need to begin to write about the world we& #39;re heading towards, with climate impacts more severe (fires in California & Australia a taste of what& #39;s coming), migration, starvation, *and* supersonic jets. I think in that world, solar radiation management crops up.
Solar radiation management is a morally dubious & environmentally questionable idea, but logistically simpler than getting same effect by CO2 capture at scale. Since & #39;we& #39;re not going to quit flying& #39; is (accurately) the kind of position that leads us to it, I relay contacts...
...people you might speak to for a realistic examination of these choices. I mean physically realistic as well as socially realistic. @yayitsrob @hughhunt @UKFIRES @DKeithClimate @AliceClimate @KevinClimate @StuartBCapstick @steviedubyu @RoRandall2 @Bankfieldbecky @juliendossier
