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I am naturally an optimist! But I am primarily a scientist and I study how things spread through social networks. I am profoundly worried. I& #39;ll let epidemiologists can give you a good scientific warning, but I want to share how I am preparing for what& #39;s coming 1/
There were ~171,000 new cases / day this week. That alone is astonishing. And in 2 days, a lot of people are going to gather in big groups, maskless, indoors. This will be catastrophic. 2/
People will get sick from Thanksgiving, but they will be spreading this for a couple weeks before the full impact emerges. I said I am an optimist. I am not a doomsayer. I would not be surprised to see us hit 500,000 cases / day. Say a month from now. December 24… 3/
If things are not bad enough to discourage family Christmas celebrations, we& #39;ll be pushing that even higher. It makes me physically anxious just to think about what& #39;s coming. And my heart aches that it& #39;s literally as we& #39;re about to roll out a vaccine! 4/
If we just waited a few more months to truly give thanks for the gift science has brought us with miraculous speed this year, so much suffering and death could be avoided!
But I know I will not convince people. I am not the first one saying this. So here& #39;s what *I* am doing 5/
But I know I will not convince people. I am not the first one saying this. So here& #39;s what *I* am doing 5/
It& #39;s still warm where I am. We have one outdoor restaurant that& #39;s operating at <50% capacity with good mask and sanitizer protocols that we feel safe going to. We& #39;re going there for our last dinner out tonight. 6/
I& #39;m doing a massive grocery shop, stocking up on non-perishables. I will have to go to the store in the coming months, but I want those to be 5 minute trips to grab milk or produce, not even 15 minute trips to stock up. 7/
That& #39;s not because I think grocery stores will close, but rather that being in them is about to become profoundly more dangerous. 8/
We have already been extremely cautious. Other than grocery shopping, I don& #39;t do anything indoors. We don& #39;t socialize even outdoors. I wear my mask everywhere. But I am terrified of what& #39;s coming. 9/
I had run-of-the-mill pneumonia last year and was miserable for months. Even "mild" cases of covid are much worse. The impacts last a very long time even for healthy people. 10/
My passion in life is doing big, epic things. I ran every road in the Florida Keys as my summer quarantine project. I run 100 miles (all in a row without stopping!) on Labor Day weekend. I& #39;m training for an Ironman. I want to be around and healthy to do that and more 11/
In the grand scheme of our lives, there is so little left to endure until we are vaccinated & can get back to it. I cry every day at the things I am missing-the parades, the parties, the hugs. I feel all that pain everyone else does. We just have to make it a few more months. 12/
