1/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Number of cases has been rising largely in lockstep with number of tests.

Correlation coefficient between two series: > 0.80
2/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Positive percentage (7-day MA) had been rising since Oct. 7 from low of 4.4% to 8.3% on Nov. 18.

Falling since then, today at 7.5%.

July 8 high was 16.1%.

The snowbirds have returned with more than just their buying power.
3/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Hospitalization data continues to show stability.

Occupancy of all beds at 74%, in line with past several months.

Same for occupancy of ICU beds at 76%.
4/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Covid-occupied beds is a head-scratcher.

Peaked at 9,500+ in July, dropped steadily to < 2,000 on Oct. 18th.

Since has risen to 3,734.

Still down 60% from July.

Only 8% of total occupied beds, down from 20% in July.

Snowbird effect?
5/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Deaths by date of death.

No sign of any upward trend since end of July.

But . . . "Just Wait Two Weeks!"
6/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Deaths by "date of data dump."

After falling from mid-Sep to early Nov, we now see a rise.

What you don't see is that, during decline, few deaths were more than a month old.

That changes a couple of weeks ago . . . .
6/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Since early Nov., FL medical examiners are back to "matching" old death certificates to old Covid cases.

Today: 30 of 94 "reported deaths" died prior to Nov.

2 in Jul.
4 in Aug.
14 in Sep.
9 in Oct.

This is contrived 'shopwork' . . . .
8/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Case Fatality Rates (CFRs) by age and month continues to plummet, esp. for the oldest age groups.
9/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Weekly All-Cause Deaths continue to decline, now back in line with 2019, which was a "mild" year.
10/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

Finally, charts" based on Covid Caseline data.

Cases rising as testing ramped up by 50%.

Deaths continue to decline.

Hospitalizations (7-day lag) up slightly but down during past week.

ED Visits up as snowbirds returned.
11/ Florida Covid Update: No. 23, 2020

One more.

The Current Situation in Florida, from @healthyfla Covid webpage.

CLI ED visits falling past six days after two-day spike.

Great daily summary page!

https://floridahealthcovid19.gov/ 
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