1/

The missing Scottish Referendum of 2021

Every day we hear Nationalists and their politicians go on about another referendum in 2021

It’s not happening. It’s never going to be happening and Sturgeon knows it’s not going to be happening

Why not?

Well. That’s easy
2/

For one thing, the SNP simply cannot call a referendum. Sure, they can hold a non binding referendum, but even that would be subject to legal challenge

They simply can’t have a legal referendum because legally, they don’t have the power to call one

That power resides in WM
3/

and only WM. Referendums are reserved and a Section 30 order is needed in order to have one

Boris Johnson is not going to allow one. He’s already said so and stated that the referendum in 2014 must be respected. Not only because it was the biggest turnout in British History
4/

but because it was a once in a generation/lifetime vote with a clear result. These are Salmond and Sturgeons words. Plus, they also signed the Edinburgh Agreement which committed both parties to respecting the result

So. What happens if the SNP win a majority next year?
5/

Nothing happens. An election can’t overturn the largest mandate in British History

The SNP say that the Tories have no moral right to refuse another referendum if the SNP win a convincing victory in the election

I’m afraid they do. They Tories also put it in their manifesto
6/

last year that they will refuse another Scottish referendum

The SNP then say that this attitude will increase support for Scottish independence. That makes no difference

There simply will not be another vote in this Parliament. The Tories have absolutely nothing to lose by
7/

refusing another referendum. The SNP are stuck. There’s nothing they can do and the catastrophe of Covid has yet to show up in the economy

The best strategy is to copy what the Spanish Gov did

Refuse, refuse and refuse again. The SNP will implode once their grievance
8/

machine grinds to a halt. Once the carrot is removed the people will have no choice but to pay attention to public services and the economy

Even the patron saint of the SNP (The Holy Mother of Perpetual Grievance) won’t be able to help them

It’s over

Get used to it
You can follow @edglasgow59.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: