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things i was wrong about, an incomplete and ongoing list as i think of things:
i was wrong about the degree to which trump& #39;s advisors would try to push him to develop an actual, coherent legal strategy for stealing the election, instead of hiring the three stooges to write it for the lolz.
i was wrong about republican turnout, which was basically pound-for-pound in all of the places it needed to be in order for them to have a strong showing.
i was wrong about how seriously americans would take the pandemic, and wrong about what we would demand from our government in order to avoid the worst-case predictions. i was very wrong about this one.
i was wrong to think that republicans in the senate would recognize that their single best chance to hold onto the white house and keep a strong lead in the senate was to pass another hefty stimulus, and would act accordingly.
i was wrong about how strong (and shrewd!) biden would be in the general election. i think covid changed this calculus *some*, but it didn& #39;t change the entire game.
just in general, i was wrong about how motivational owning the libs has been as an electoral strategy.
i was wrong about how divided the left and the center are, because it& #39;s worse than i thought, but i was also wrong about how much that would matter to electoral outcomes, which i think is very little.
i was wrong about the number of republicans who would choose duty over owning the libs. this one& #39;s pretty minor, because i never had much faith even the romneys or the murkowskis, but even they have been unconscionable and irredeemable.
i was wrong about the number of state-level republicans who actually *would* do their duty regardless of what the president says, though, too.
i was wrong to think the media didn& #39;t learn anything in 2016. they learned plenty. i don& #39;t think they did any better this time around, they just learned how to apply new tactics to screw everything up.
in general, i was very, very wrong about my ability to predict future events or responses to them. more than ever, i& #39;m sure of the fact that i don& #39;t know shit about shit, and most other people don& #39;t, either.
i was wrong about south carolina, because i really thought harrison had a fighting chance, and i was wrong about georgia, which i really, honestly didn& #39;t expect would go blue.
i was wrong about how effective trans-baiting would be. trans acceptance is still a very long road to walk, but i think we& #39;re in a better place right now than, say, england. i think we& #39;ve been lucky trump hasn& #39;t really latched onto this one very hard.
can& #39;t say for certain yet, but i think i& #39;ll end up being wrong about student loan forgiveness, and it& #39;ll be more popular and less motivating than i am afraid it will be.
i was wrong about the idea that many of trump& #39;s close confidents would definitively turn on him, and i was wrong to think that the ones that did would matter.
i was wrong about mitch mcconnell, who has inarguably proven himself to be much worse than even most of his *harshest* critics have predicted.
i was wrong about elizabeth warren, who i didn& #39;t entirely think would win the primary, but who i thought (or, perhaps, hoped) would do much better than she did.
i was wrong to think that a full-scale, boots-on-the-ground war was going to be the worst-case scenario for the trump presidency, because i didn& #39;t think this country would lose all fucking reason in the face of an epidemic.
i was wrong to believe HBO had a plan for ending game of thrones in any kind of a satisfying or coherent way
i was wrong to think that the culture war was going to slowly lose electoral prominence after the 1990s. if anything, it& #39;s going as strong now as it was then.
i was wrong to think that prominent journalists and opinion havers would engage in this kind of an "i was wrong about [opinions]" list. there& #39;s no more self-awareness now than there was in 2016.
i was also wrong, roughly twenty years ago, to think that ubiquitous internet and social media would lead to more knowledge and understanding between people. or, in this case, i guess i was wrong about how severe the downsides would be.
i was wrong to think it was going to be really difficult to give up smoking while [waves hands] *all of this* was going on.
i was wrong to think that the "adults" would step in at some point in the last four years. there are no adults.
i was wrong to think that you should be judicious about blocking people who annoy the shit out of you, i do it freely all the time now without any hesitance and i wish i had started earlier.
