I’ve been seeing some “this was a big win for Biden” discourse, and it’s not wrong, but I think we need to remember how narrow some of these state wins were, as well as how narrow the losses were in 2016.

Biden’s margins, especially in Michigan, have been wider than Trump’s in 2016, where 100k votes different could have swing the entire election.

But a lot of them aren’t remotely comfortable.

A 10k or 20k vote margin, in an extremely high turnout election, is incredibly easy to dissolve in future elections, especially in the face of sustained disfranchisement efforts by the GOP.

I’m not saying they can’t be replicated, just that we will continue to have a huge amount of work ahead of us, especially after redistricting next year further locks in GOP control and electoral college bias.

We’ve seen, for instance, North Carolina waved back and forth between red and purple. Arizona and Georgia are probably more likely to do so than to join the solidly blue club like Virginia did.

Also, we need to be vigilant with Pennsylvania and the upper Midwest. They could easily shift Republican permanently, in the way Missouri and Iowa have done.

I don’t mean to be a pessimist. I’m just saying we can’t take any state won in 2020 for granted.

Though, frankly, the same is true for the GOP. Looking at you, Texas.