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I have updated significantly in favor of large-scale #fraud deciding the US election.
1. Mass mail-in ballots have made cheating much easier. The trick is that fraudsters find out who hasn't voted over the course of election day, and then overnight they fill ballots out for them
2. they can also just submit a bunch of ballots for people who are too old/lazy/senile to vote, and someone has actually been charged with this already: https://www.click2houston.com/news/texas/2020/11/07/social-worker-charged-with-134-felony-counts-involving-election-fraud-in-limestone-county/
3. "BUT WHERE'S THE EVIDENCE?"
Well... I have started on a quest to find that evidence. And I have literally just realized how hard that is.
You might think that a modern country like the US has some kind of system that aggregates all the votes that were counted, in detail...
Well... I have started on a quest to find that evidence. And I have literally just realized how hard that is.
You might think that a modern country like the US has some kind of system that aggregates all the votes that were counted, in detail...
i.e., every vote: time counted, manner of voting, who they voted for, location, etc, and presents this data for statisticians to examine - and quickly. Quickly being, you know, before the election is called? I.e. yesterday?
No.
No.
As far as I am aware no such dataset currently exists. So, if you are looking for evidence of irregularities right now (i.e., when it actually matters), you have to 𝘣𝘶𝘪𝘭𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘳𝘦 𝘧𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯' 𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘢𝘴𝘦𝘵 yourself, by scraping various county /state websites.
And what about knowing the partial counts over time? Sure that was recorded?
No. Apparently there is no record of that in the official system.
The only information we have about that is because some internet autists used the @waybackmachine to snapshot county/state sites.
No. Apparently there is no record of that in the official system.
The only information we have about that is because some internet autists used the @waybackmachine to snapshot county/state sites.
So, where's the evidence?
The evidence is scattered around thousands of random little websites (the data) and government buildings, locked away and protected until you can win a court case (physical evidence)
The evidence is scattered around thousands of random little websites (the data) and government buildings, locked away and protected until you can win a court case (physical evidence)
4. Incentives and teams: a process like this is only going to turn up evidence of fraud if someone is looking for it. Right now, how many people are seriously looking for statistical evidence of election fraud?
Well, about 5, plus some random 4channers and twitter anons. +me.
Well, about 5, plus some random 4channers and twitter anons. +me.
Media networks have called the election, it's considered a done deal now and there is an incentive to not be seen to be supporting Trump by questioning the result. This means that few people have an incentive to do the work it takes to collect evidence.
Especially important in this process is the effect where a soon-to-be-ex-president won't have any gibs to hand out to people, but his newly empowered opponents certainly have power to harm people (especially those in the US!)...
... so the election fraud becomes a self-reinforcing phenomenon: once it's considered "done", there's little incentive to actually do the work that it takes to uncover the fraud.
