Read on Twitter
There's a statistically significant difference between Pennsylvania and Michigan and the other swing states in terms of the number of counties which saw greater increased % turnout for Biden over Trump
For Pennsylvania, Biden saw greater increases in 58/67 counties so 87%!
1
For Pennsylvania, Biden saw greater increases in 58/67 counties so 87%!
1
In Michigan, he saw greater increases in 64/83 counties so 77%
This must be indicative of more enthusiasm for Biden, right?
Maybe, but maybe not
2
This must be indicative of more enthusiasm for Biden, right?
Maybe, but maybe not
2
In Florida, Biden only led in 32/67 or 48%
Slight edge to Trump, but pretty much a toss-up
3
Slight edge to Trump, but pretty much a toss-up
3
How about Wisconsin?
39/72 or 54% for Biden
Again, pretty much a toss-up
4
39/72 or 54% for Biden
Again, pretty much a toss-up
4
Georgia: 94/159 for Biden or 59%
I should point out that in Georgia the pattern of massive blue spikes in some areas suggests that ballot harvesting could be taking place
It could also mean that certain demographics broke greatly for Biden or against Trump (or both)
5
I should point out that in Georgia the pattern of massive blue spikes in some areas suggests that ballot harvesting could be taking place
It could also mean that certain demographics broke greatly for Biden or against Trump (or both)
5
So for PA and MI, we have 122/150 or 81% of county increases favoring Biden
For FL, WI, GA Biden had 165/298 or 54%
The difference is statistically significant meaning it should not happen by chance alone
6
For FL, WI, GA Biden had 165/298 or 54%
The difference is statistically significant meaning it should not happen by chance alone
6
Now, maybe there is an explanation for why this occurs, but all these states were very close in the final results
Given that Pennsylvania and Michigan are the two states where the most irregularities were reported, I think it is fair to ask why
7
Given that Pennsylvania and Michigan are the two states where the most irregularities were reported, I think it is fair to ask why
7
Initially, I was looking at the potential for fraud in terms of ballot harvesting which should appear to spike in very specific blue counties (for example Georgia)
That's why the PA data didn't seem suspicious to me yesterday
But when comparing it to others...
8
That's why the PA data didn't seem suspicious to me yesterday
But when comparing it to others...
8
...it is also possible that the data itself is behaving in strange ways in PA/MI compared to other swing states
Both states show small but consistent increases over Trump's gain
Let's face it, nobody expected consistently bigger gains by Biden in deep red PA
9
Both states show small but consistent increases over Trump's gain
Let's face it, nobody expected consistently bigger gains by Biden in deep red PA
9
